“一带一路”倡议、非正规就业与收入差距调节  

The Belt and Road Initiative,Informal Employment and Income Gap Adjustment

作　　者：李丹[1] 吕鑫萌 LI Dan;LYU Xin-meng

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学金融与贸易学院

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2022年第9期38-54,共17页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21BJL070);第70批中国博士后科学基金面上项目(2021M702069)。

摘　　要：文章选取中国劳动力动态调查(CLDS)微观层面数据,运用倾向得分匹配与双重差分方法(PSM-DID)实证检验“一带一路”倡议对非正规就业的冲击效应。研究发现:“一带一路”倡议显著扩张了非正规就业规模,该结论通过了多种稳健性检验;“一带一路”倡议主要通过平抑经济政策的不确定性、降低双边贸易成本提升了覆盖地区的非正规就业规模;非正规就业的扩张在企业类型、地区分布上存在明显的异质性。进一步研究得出:“一带一路”倡议不仅显著提高了我国非正规就业规模,并且缩小了非正规就业者与正规就业者之间的工资收入差距。Based on the micro-level data from China Labor-force Dynamics Survey(CLDS),this paper uses PSM-DID method to empirically test the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)on informal employment.The research shows that:BRI significantly expands the scale of informal employment,and this conclusion passes various robustness tests;BRI expands the scale of informal employment in the covered areas mainly by smoothing the uncertainty of economic policies and reducing the costs of bilateral trade;the expansion of informal employment has obvious heterogeneity in enterprise types and regional distribution.Further research reveals that BRI not only significantly expands the scale of informal employment in China,but also narrows the wage gap between informal and formal employees.

关 键 词：“一带一路”倡议 经济政策不确定性 非正规就业 收入差距 收入调节 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]