能源富集区经济韧性演化过程及影响机制——以榆林市为例  

Evolution process and influence mechanism of economic resilience in energy-rich areas:A case study of Yulin City

作　　者：唐宇() 宋永永 薛东前 叶昊 余娇娇 TANG Yu;SONG Yongyong;XUE Dongqian;YE Hao;YU Jiaojiao(School of Geography and Tourism,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi’an 710119,China;Danba High School of Sichuan Province,Ganzi 626300,China)

机构地区：[1]陕西师范大学地理科学与旅游学院,西安710119 [2]四川省丹巴中学,甘孜626300

出　　处：《资源科学》2022年第7期1331-1343,共13页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(42001251);中国博士后科学基金面上项目(2021M692003);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(GK202103139)。

摘　　要：科学认知能源富集区经济韧性演化过程与规律,是推动能源富集区经济转型和可持续发展的迫切需求。在演化韧性视角下构建能源富集区产业结构演替与经济韧性响应分析框架,采用区域经济韧性测度和分解模型,从主导产业动态变化、三次产业结构演替和区域经济韧性转化3个方面,研究1990—2019年能源富集区榆林市经济韧性演化过程与机制。结果表明:(1)榆林市经济韧性演化经历了“重组-开发、开发-维持和维持-释放”3个阶段,区域经济韧性呈前期和后期弱、中期强的倒“U”形曲线;(2)1990—1999年第一和第三产业竞争力与结构素质是影响榆林市经济韧性的主要原因,经济发展具有较强的路径突破能力,2000—2019年榆林市经济韧性的剧烈波动主要由第二产业竞争力的快速“增强-下降”所引起,经济发展的路径依赖性显著增强;(3)能源采掘业竞争力波动是榆林市能源化工产业韧性演化的主要动因,能源加工业和化工产业对能源化工产业韧性演化的作用日益增强。研究结果有助于为增强区域经济韧性,探索能源富集区经济转型和可持续发展路径提供科学依据。Scientifically understanding the evolution process and pattern of change of the economic resilience in energy-rich areas is urgently needed in order to promote economic transformation and sustainable development of these areas. From the perspective of evolutionary resilience, this study constructed a framework of analysis of industrial structure succession and economic resilience response of energy-rich areas, and used the measurement and decomposition model of regional economic resilience to examine the evolution process and mechanism of economic resilience in the energy-rich Yulin City from 1990 to 2019 from three aspects: dynamic changes of leading industries, succession of tertiary industrial structure, and transformation of regional economic resilience. The results show that:(1) The evolution of economic resilience in Yulin City has experienced three stages: restructure-development, development-maintenance, and maintenancerelease. The regional economic resilience showed an inverted U-shape of weak in the early and late stages and strong in the middle stage.(2) From 1990 to 1999, the competitiveness and structural quality of the primary and tertiary industries were the main reasons affecting the economic resilience of Yulin City, and the economic development had a strong path breaking-through ability.From 2000 to 2019, the drastic fluctuation of economic resilience in Yulin City was mainly caused by the rapid strengthening and decline of the competitiveness of the secondary industry, and the path dependence of economic development was significantly enhanced.(3) The fluctuation of the competitiveness of the energy mining industry was the main driving force for the resilience evolution of the energy and chemical industries in Yulin City. The energy processing industry and chemical industry played an increasingly important role in the resilience evolution of the energy and chemical industries. The research results can help governments to enhance the resilience of regional economies and provide a scientific basis

关 键 词：经济韧性 产业结构 偏离-份额法 能源富集区 榆林市 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]