云南省农业可持续发展水平测度及系统差异研究  

Measurement and Systematic Difference of Agricultural Sustainable Development Level in Yunnan Province

作　　者：张义伟[1,2] 张悟移 范祖莉[1] 刘莲 ZHANG Yi-wei;ZHANG Wu-yi;FAN Zu-li;LIU Lian(Business School,Honghe College,Mengzi 661199,China;School of Management and Economics,Kunming University of Technology,Kunming 650093,China)

机构地区：[1]红河学院商学院,云南蒙自661199 [2]昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,云南昆明650093

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2022年第9期49-59,共11页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：云南省哲学社会科学规划项目——“云南省高原特色农业农产品供应链脆弱性研究(QN202025);国家自然科学基金项目——“智力资本导向的供应链企业间知识共享机制研究”(71562023);中国工程院项目“云南茶叶产业链关键管理技术研究”阶段成果;红河州哲学社会科学规划项目(2021ZC01)。

摘　　要：农业是云南省经济发展的重要支柱,农业的可持续发展对于云南省经济发展具有重要作用.以农业系统为研究对象,将农业人口、经济、社会、资源和农业环境作为一级指标,选取30个二级指标建立云南省农业可持续发展评估指标体系,客观评价云南省农业可持续发展水平以及各系统之间的协调度和耦合协调度.2009-2019年,全省农业系统可持续发展水平不断提升,农业系统协调度由2009年的0.2557提升到2019年的0.8314,农业系统耦合协调度经历了严重失调中度协调轻度失调,该值近似为“W”形状;从两两系统角度来看,不论是耦合度还是耦合协调度,水平都较高;从三个系统角度来看,耦合度和耦合协调度变化趋势基本与两系统的变化趋势相符,但是当涉及到与人口和环境系统时,不论是系统的耦合度还是耦合协调度,都会表现出不同程度的下降;当随着子系统数量增加,系统复杂之后,云南省农业可持续发展的系统耦合度和耦合协调度均有较大程度下降.云南省农业可持续发展整体呈现良好的发展趋势,农业子系统之间的耦合协调度与系统耦合协调变化趋势有一定差异,农业可持续发展水平有待提升.Agriculture is an important pillar of economic development in Yunnan,and the sustainable development of agriculture plays an important role in the economic development of Yunnan.Taking the agricultural system as the research object,the evaluation index system of sustainable agricultural development in Yunnan was established by selecting 5 primary indicators,including agricultural population,economy,society,resources and agricultural environment,and 30 secondary indicators,to objectively evaluate the level of sustainable agricultural development in Yunnan as well as the coordination degree and coupling coordination degree among the various systems.From 2009 to 2019,the sustainable development level of agricultural system in Yunnan continuously improved,and the coordination degree of agricultural system increased from 0.2557 to 0.8314.The coupling coordination degree of agricultural system experienced severe maladjustment,moderate coordination and mild maladjustment,which is approximately in the shape of"W".From the perspective of the pairwise systems,both coupling degree and coupling coordination degree were high.From the point of view of the three systems,the change trends of coupling degree and coupling coordination degree were basically consistent with the change trends of the two systems,but when it comes to the population and environment system,both the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree of the system showed different degrees of decline.With the increase of the number of subsystems and the complexity of the system,the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree of Yunnan agricultural sustainable development decreased sharply.The sustainable development of agriculture in Yunnan shows a good trend.There are some differences between the coupling coordination degree and the change trend of system coupling coordination among agricultural subsystems,and the sustainable agricultural development needs to be improved.

关 键 词：云南省 可持续发展 水平测度 系统差异 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]