川渝地区滑坡灾害预警模型研究进展  

Research Progress of Landslide DisasterWarning Models for Sichuan-Chongqing Region

作　　者：冯梅[1] 张小霞 周珩[1] FENG Mei;ZHANG Xiaoxia;ZHOU Heng(Chengdu Aeronautic Polytechnic,Chengdu 610100,China)

机构地区：[1]成都航空职业技术学院,成都610100

出　　处：《成都航空职业技术学院学报》2022年第3期46-49,53,共5页Journal of Chengdu Aeronautic Polytechnic

基　　金：四川省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地四川灾害经济研究中心2021年度项目“四川省自然灾害统计预警模型设计及应用研究”(ZHJJ2021-YB006)。

摘　　要：川渝地区滑坡灾害频发,区域性的综述文献较少。因此对川渝地区滑坡灾害预警模型研究进展的探讨非常有必要。首先全面分析川渝地区滑坡灾害预警模型研究的主要区域及区域特点,其次总结出川渝地区滑坡预警模型的数据来源及预测预报模型的类型,归纳出川渝地区采用的滑坡时间预测和时空预测的主要研究内容,并从中提出了多维度监测、多模型融合以及时空动态监测的发展趋势。Landslides occur frequently in Sichuan-Chongqing region,yet regional literature reviews are not commonly seen.Therefore,it is necessary to explore the research progress of landslide disaster warning models in Sichuan-Chongqing region.First,comprehensive analysis is made of the main target areas and their characteristics involved in the study of landslide disaster warning models in Sichuan-Chongqing region.Then,the data sources of landslide warning models and the types of warning models are sorted out,and the main research contents of landslide time prediction and spatio-temporal prediction are summarized.The development trends of multi-dimension monitoring,multi-model fusion and dynamic spatio-temporal monitoring are hereby put forward.

关 键 词：滑坡灾害 预警模型 LOGISTIC回归模型 

分 类 号：P642.2[天文地球—工程地质学]