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作 者:彭雪婷 吕昊东 张贤[1] PENG Xue-Ting;LYU Hao-Dong;ZHANG Xian(The Administrative Center for China’s Agenda 21,Beijing 100038,China;China University of Geosciences(Beijing),Beijing 100083,China)
机构地区:[1]中国21世纪议程管理中心,北京100038 [2]中国地质大学(北京),北京100083
出 处:《气候变化研究进展》2022年第5期580-590,共11页Climate Change Research
基 金:科技创新战略研究专项项目“碳中和科技发展路线图”(ZLY202122)。
摘 要:近年来,碳捕集利用与封存(CCUS)作为减缓气候变化的关键技术之一,得到国际社会广泛关注。政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第六次评估报告(AR6)第三工作组报告对CCUS进行了重新定位,并围绕减排潜力、减排成本、综合效益及应用前景等方面,对CCUS相关技术进行了系统全面评估。结论显示,CCUS技术是全球气候目标实现不可或缺的减排技术组合,到21世纪中叶有潜力实现累积千亿吨级减排效应,但当前CCUS技术成熟度整体处于示范阶段,成本较高,减排潜力有待进一步释放。综合考虑CCUS可以有效降低巨额资产搁浅风险、具有良好社会环境效益等因素,我国应结合自身“富煤、贫油、少气”的资源禀赋和基本国情,将CCUS作为战略性技术,统筹政策顶层设计、加速技术体系构建、探索市场激励机制、加强国际科技合作,促进CCUS技术发展。In recent years,carbon capture,utilization and storage(CCUS),as one of the key technologies to address climate change,has attracted extensive attention from the international community.The Working GroupⅢcontribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report(AR6)has repositioned CCUS,and assessed carbon capture and storage(CCS),carbon capture and utilization(CCU),bioenergy with carbon capture and storage(BECCS),direct air carbon capture and storage(DACCS)systematically and comprehensively,with focusing on mitigation potential and cost,comprehensive benefits and application prospects.The results show that CCUS is an indispensable combination of emission reduction technologies for the realization of global climate targets,which has the potential to achieve cumulative hundred-billion tons reduction effects by the middle of the 21st century.However,the current maturity of CCUS technology is overall at the demonstration stage and the cost is high,with mitigation potential to be further released.Considering CCUS can effectively reduce the risk of huge amount of stranded assets and has good social and environmental benefits,it’s necessary for China to regard CCUS as a strategic technology under the context of its own resource endowment.To promote the development of CCUS,China should coordinate top design,accelerate the construction of technology system,explore market incentive mechanism,and strengthen international cooperation.
关 键 词:碳捕集利用与封存(CCUS) 技术评估 减排潜力 综合效益
分 类 号:P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] X701[环境科学与工程—环境工程]
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