气候变化国际合作的进展与评价  

Progress and evaluation of international climate change cooperation

作　　者：蒋含颖 高翔 王灿[1] JIANG Han-Ying;GAO Xiang;WANG Can(School of Environment,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation,Beijing 100035,China)

机构地区：[1]清华大学环境学院,北京100084 [2]国家应对气候变化战略研究和国际合作中心,北京100035

出　　处：《气候变化研究进展》2022年第5期591-604,共14页Climate Change Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(72140002,71904201);国家重点研发计划(2017YFA0603602)。

摘　　要：气候变化是当前世界面临的巨大挑战,应对气候变化需要国际间合作已成为普遍共识。IPCC第六次评估报告(AR6)第三工作组(WGⅢ)报告第十四章回顾了IPCC第五次评估报告(AR5)以来气候变化国际合作的进展,基于所提出的评价体系对进展进行了系统评估。报告认为,AR5以来气候变化国际合作最重要的进展是基于《巴黎协定》建立的以国家自主贡献为核心的全球行动模式;除《巴黎协定》外,国际上也形成了多种形式的合作机制,其中,气候俱乐部是国际气候合作研究的新热点。对于《巴黎协定》的有效性,目前国际社会存在正反两种观点,并认为《巴黎协定》能否达成既定目标取决于是否有能力强化全球下一步的集体气候行动目标和实施。Climate change is a significant challenge facing the world.It has become a general consensus that dealing with such a challenge requires international cooperation.The Sixth Assessment Report(AR6)of Working Group Ⅲ(WGⅢ)of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)presents an independent chapter(Chapter 14)which reviews the progress of international cooperation on climate change since the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report(AR5),and systematically assesses the progress based on the proposed evaluation system.According to the report,the most important progress in climate change cooperation since AR5 is the model of nationally determined contribution(NDC)global actions established under the Paris Agreement;in addition,various forms of international cooperation mechanisms have been established,among which the Climate Club has become a new hotspot for climate change cooperation research.As for the Paris Agreement,there are two opposite views in the international community on its effectiveness,and whether it can achieve its stated goals depends on the ability to strengthen the next step of global collective climate action goals and implementation.

关 键 词：国际合作 气候变化 评价体系 进展 IPCC 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] D815[政治法律—国际关系]