能源转型促进新型能源体系建设——专访bp中国区首席经济学家陈巧玲  

Low carbon transition boosts the establishment of a new energy system——Interview with Dr.CHEN Qiaoling,Chief China economist at bp

作　　者：陈巧玲 王祖纲 CHEN Qiaoling;WANG Zugang(bp China,Shanghai 200127,China;CNPC Economics and Technology Research Institute,Beijing 100724,China;Editorial Department of WPI,Beijing 100724,China)

机构地区：[1]碧辟(中国)投资有限公司,上海200127 [2]中国石油集团经济技术研究院,北京100724 [3]本刊编辑部,北京100724

出　　处：《世界石油工业》2022年第5期1-5,共5页World Petroleum Industry

摘　　要：综合全球能源系统向低碳化转型、各国对能源安全的考量以及可再生能源技术进步带来成本持续不断地下降等因素,相信可再生能源持续发展的趋势不可阻挡。地缘政治危机和对经济衰退的担忧,不会扭转低碳化转型这样一个根本性的大趋势。在此大趋势下,30年后,全球对于各种化石能源的消费量都会大大降低,进而会改变油气资源对于中国经济的影响程度。世界向低碳化转型的过程中,中国将扮演一个举足轻重的角色。Renewable power will continue to expand with a rapid pace in the coming thirty years,on the back of world’s strong commitment to a low carbon energy system,increasing concerns over energy security,and a continuously declining production cost driven by improving renewable energy technology.This trend is unlikely to be reversed by fears of economic recession and uncertainties arising from geopolitical tension.Consequently,consumption of oil and gas by 2050 will fall sharply from today’s level,which will further reduce the importance of oil and gas in China’s economic system.China plays a pivotal role in the world’s low carbon transition.

关 键 词：可再生能源 能源安全 能源结构 低碳化转型 电力结构 

分 类 号：TE-9[石油与天然气工程]