中国对非投资环境评价及空间相关性分析  

Environmental Evaluation of China’s Investment to Africa and Analysis of the Spatial Correlation

作　　者：刘泉宏[1] 聂语 LIU Quanhong;NIE Yu

机构地区：[1]江汉大学商学院,湖北武汉430056

出　　处：《江汉大学学报（社会科学版）》2022年第5期61-71,126,共12页Journal of Jianghan University(Social Science Edition)

摘　　要：在发展中经济体中,非洲作为自然资源丰富、市场开发不足的地区具有巨大的投资潜力。然而,非洲各国的政治经济背景差异较大,投资环境也存在巨大差异,这对投资者而言既是挑战也是机遇,因此对非洲国家的投资环境进行综合评估至关重要。文章根据2020年非洲国家各项指标相关数据,构建非洲国家投资环境评价体系,对非洲51个国家进行综合评价排名。并利用综合评价得分进行聚类分析,将非洲国家分为4大类,探寻不同类别之间差异存在的原因。最后,对非洲各国投资环境的空间关联情况进行空间自相关分析。研究结果表明,非洲各国发展状况差异较大,地理位置优越、物产资源丰饶的国家往往投资环境较好,同时,非洲各国的投资环境不存在明显的空间相关性。Among developing economies,African,being a region of rich natural resources,has a huge investment potential with its market underexploited.Yet,the investment environments vary greatly due to the great discrepancy of African countries’political and economic backgrounds.This is both a challenge and an opportunity for investors.Hence,it is of vital importance to comprehensively evaluate the investment climates of African countries.The 2020 index data of African countries is analyzed to construct an investment environmental evaluation system of African countries and present a comprehensive evaluation ranking of 51 African countries.Based on the comprehensive evaluation scores,the African countries are classified into four major categories according the clustering analysis;reasons for the differences between the categories are explored.Finally,a spatial autocorrelation analysis is done to study the spatial correlation situations of African countries’investment environments.The results show that the development situations of African countries differ greatly;countries with good geographical locations and plentiful products and resources usually have better investment environments;and that there is no obvious spatial correlation in terms of their investment environments.

关 键 词：投资环境 非洲国家 双边贸易 空间相关性 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]