产业智能化与中国企业出口生存  

Industrial Intelligence and Export Survival of China’s Enterprises

作　　者：耿伟[1] 吴雪洁 彭青 GENG Wei;WU Xuejie;PENG Qing(School of Economics,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,Tianjin,300222)

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学经济学院,天津300222

出　　处：《国际商务（对外经济贸易大学学报）》2022年第5期36-53,共18页INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“双重贸易网络、市场拥挤与中国企业出口生存研究”(19BJY191)。

摘　　要：本文基于2001—2013年中国出口企业数据,运用生存分析模型,探究产业智能化对企业出口生存风险、持续时间的影响。研究发现,智能化显著降低了企业出口生存风险,延长了出口持续时间。异质性分析表明,智能化转型更为显著地降低了非国有企业、使用互联网的企业与非成熟型企业的出口生存风险,延长了其出口持续期。机制检验表明,智能化转型通过市场竞争效应和资源配置效应降低了企业出口生存风险,延长了企业出口持续期。此外,产业智能化还有利于提高企业出口韧性,且对企业出口扩展边际有显著的正向影响。Based on the data of Chinese export enterprises from 2001 to 2013, this paper used the Cox model of discrete-time survival analysis to explore the effect of intelligent transformation on enterprises’ export survival risk and duration.The research finds that intelligent transformation significantly reduces enterprises’ export survival risk and prolongs export duration;heterogeneity analysis shows that intelligent transformation significantly reduces export survival risk and prolongs export duration of private enterprises, internet-using, and immature enterprises.Further mechanism tests show that intelligent transformation reduces export survival risk through market competition and resource allocation efficiency.Furthermore, industrial intelligence improves export resilience and promotes extensive margin.

关 键 词：产业智能化 企业出口生存 出口韧性 二元边际 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]