安徽黄山旅游地生命周期研究  

A study on tourism area life cycle in Huangshan Mountain,Anhui Province

作　　者：闫怡燃 韩宾娜[1] YAN Yiran;HAN Binna(School of History and Culture,Northeast Normal University,130024,Changchun,Jilin,PRC)

机构地区：[1]东北师范大学历史文化学院,吉林省长春市130024

出　　处：《曲阜师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2022年第4期116-120,共5页Journal of Qufu Normal University(Natural Science)

摘　　要：从微观尺度出发,以安徽黄山为研究对象,借助本底趋势线、离散系数,基于1995—2019年黄山风景区旅游接待人数,分别进行了黄山旅游接待人数时序演变分析和离散系数变化分析,并引入Gompertz模型对2011—2019年黄山旅游地的发展阶段进行了判定.根据旅游接待人数的时序演变情况,黄山旅游地发展演化阶段分为3个阶段:前增速阶段、增速阶段、后增速阶段.前增速阶段离散系数处于较高状态,增速和后增速阶段离散系数逐步下降.Gompertz模型结果显示,黄山2011—2019年处于巩固阶段.最后,基于上述分析结果,为黄山旅游持续发展提出了巩固青山效应、深耕文旅融合、巧用智慧加法、对接新兴业态4条建议.From the microscopic scale,taking Huangshan Mountain in Anhui Province as the research object,with the help of the background trend line and dispersion coefficient,based on the number of tourist receptions in Huangshan Scenic Area from 1995 to 2019,the analysis of the time series evolution of the number of tourist receptions in Huangshan Mountain and the analysis of the change of dispersion coefficient of the number of tourist receptions in Huangshan Mountain were carried out respectively,and the Gompertz model was introduced to make the development stage of Huangshan tourist place from 2011 to 2019.The results show that there are three stages in the development of the Huangshan tourism area:the pre-growth stage,the growth stage and the post-growth stage.The dispersion coefficients are higher in the pre-growth phase and gradually decrease in the growth and post-growth phases.According to the results of the Gompertz model,Huangshan is in the consolidation phase from 2011 to 2019.Finally,based on the results of the above analysis,four suggestions are made for the sustainable development of tourism in Huangshan:consolidating the green mountain effect,deepening the integration of cultural and tourism,making smart additions,and connecting to new business models.

关 键 词：黄山 旅游地生命周期 可持续发展 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]