双边自由贸易协定对中国农产品的出口效应研究  

Research on the Export Effect of Bilateral Free Trade Agreement on Chinese Agricultural Products

作　　者：邰怡 李红[1] TAI Yi;LI Hong(School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi,Xinjiang 830052)

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学经济管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052

出　　处：《北方园艺》2022年第18期140-149,共10页Northern Horticulture

基　　金：国家自然科学基金地区资助项目(71562033);新疆社会科学基金资助项目(20BGL083)。

摘　　要：基于2005—2019年中国农产品的出口贸易数据,首先从贸易规模、农产品结构和市场结构3个方面分析中国与自由贸易协定(FTA)伙伴国家的农产品贸易现状,其次运用得分倾向匹配双重差分法(PSM-DID)实证分析双边FTA对中国农产品的出口效应。结果表明:FTA的签订并生效促进了中国对FTA伙伴国的农产品出口;中国对不同洲际FTA伙伴国的农产品出口效应大于同一洲际;中国对不同FTA伙伴国的农产品出口效应存在差异;FTA的生效对中国农产品的出口效应存在滞后性。Based on China′s agricultural product export trade data from 2005 to 2019,the current situation of agricultural product trade between China and FTA partner countries from three aspects,trade scale,agricultural product structure,and market structure were first analyzed,then the export effect of bilateral FTA on Chinese agricultural products through the PSM and DID method were empirically analyzed.The results showed that the signing and entry into force of the FTA had promoted China′s agricultural exports to FTA partner countries;China′s agricultural exports to different intercontinental FTA partner countries were more effective than the same continent.There were differences in the export effect of China′s agricultural products to different FTA partner countries;the entry into force of the FTA had a lagging effect on the export effects of China′s agricultural products.

关 键 词：FTA 农产品 出口效应 PSM-DID 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]