外地人口流入与本地居民的再分配偏好  

Inflow of Migrant Population and Local Residents’ Preference for Redistribution

作　　者：林文[1] 邓明[2] LIN Wen;DENG Ming(Minjiang University,Fuzhou 350108;Xiamen University,Xiamen 361005,China)

机构地区：[1]闽江学院海峡学院,福建福州350108 [2]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《当代财经》2022年第10期3-14,共12页Contemporary Finance and Economics

基　　金：福建省社会科学规划项目“福建省出口农产品质量安全提升及农户福利效应研究”(FJ2019B018);贵州省2022年度哲学社会科学规划重大委托课题“深化黔澳合作推动内陆开放型经济新高地建设路径研究”(22GZWT01)。

摘　　要：居民的再分配偏好是影响政府再分配政策的重要因素,其影响因素受到学术界的广泛关注。基于中国综合社会调查提供的居民再分配偏好数据与中国地级市层面的外地人口比重数据的实证研究表明,总体而言,外地人口流入显著抑制了本地居民的再分配偏好;同时,农业户口的本地居民的再分配偏好受外地人口流入的影响要大于非农业户口的本地居民,外地人口流入对本地居民再分配偏好的影响在不同受教育程度的本地居民中呈现出显著的异质性。机制研究表明,外地人口流入对本地居民的再分配偏好具有异质性传导机制。一方面,外地人口流入通过提升本地居民的风险规避偏好和降低本地居民的公平信念强化了本地居民的再分配偏好;另一方面,外地人口流入也会通过提高本地居民的向上流动预期和降低本地居民的群体信任来抑制本地居民的再分配偏好。The preference for redistributionof the residents is an important factor influencing government’s redistribution policy, and this influencing factor has received extensive attentionin the academic world. Based on the data of residents’ preference for redistribution provided by China General Social Survey and the data of migrant population proportion at the level of prefecture-level cities in China, this paper conducts an empirical study. The findings show that, in general, the inflow of migrant population has significantly restrained thepreference for redistribution of the local residents. At the same time, the preference for redistribution of the agriculturally registeredlocal residents is more affected by the influx of migrant population than the non-agriculturally registeredlocal residents. The impact of the inflows of migrant population on the preference for redistribution of local residents shows significant heterogeneity among local residents with different education levels. The results of the mechanism study show that there isa heterogeneous transmission mechanism in the preference for redistribution of local residentsby the inflow of migrant populations.On the one hand, theinflow of migrantpopulation has strengthened the local residents’ redistributive preferences through raising their risk-averse preferences and lowering their equity beliefs;on the other hand, the inflow of migrant population has also suppressedthe local residents’ redistributive preferences through raising their expectations of upward mobility and lowering their group trust.

关 键 词：再分配偏好 流动人口 社会公平认知 流动性预期 

分 类 号：F014.4[经济管理—政治经济学]