基于冲突分析图模型的海岸防护工程决策主体均衡分析  

Equilibrium Analysis of Decision Makers of Coastal Protection Project Based on Conflict Analysis Graph Model

作　　者：刘海波 刘红军[1] 许国辉[1] Liu Haibo;Liu Hongjun;Xu Guohui(College of Environmental Science and Engineering,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学环境科学与工程学院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《中国海洋大学学报（自然科学版）》2022年第11期127-135,共9页Periodical of Ocean University of China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41576039)资助。

摘　　要：近年来在海洋灾害和人类活动的双重影响下,海岸线变迁、海岸侵蚀、海岸环境污染等一系列问题不断加剧,致使海岸周边城市居民的健康生活受到威胁。然而,离岸堤、丁坝等海岸防护工程的修建是复杂的工程,单一工程的修建可能对附近环境带来不同的影响,从而影响沿海居民的权益。为了更好地综合各方利益来建造海岸防护工程,本文构建了冲突分析图模型,以典型的海岸防护工程为例分析决策主体最优选择,确定该海岸工程的防护主体以及各主体的策略和战略,集合各决策主体的策略,形成状态集合。通过分析各决策主体的偏好,依据均衡定义确定均衡状态,图模型方法能够通过相对偏好求解复杂的冲突问题,为解决海岸带防护工程中的冲突问题提供新思路和新方法,为现实中海岸防护邻岸冲突问题提供决策依据。In recent years,under the dual influence of Marine disasters and human activities,a series of problems such as coastline change,coastal erosion and coastal environmental pollution are increasingly aggravated,which threaten the healthy life of residents in coastal cities.Therefore,it is of great significance to master coastal protection technology and construct coastal protection projects.However,coastal protection works such as off-shore dikes and groins will change the sediment transport capacity of the coastal current,and the silt formed in the upstream of the current will erode the downstream coast,thus affecting the rights and interests of the downstream coastal residents.In order to better comprehensive the interests of all parties to build coast protection engineering,this paper build conflict analysis model,in a typical coast protection engineering as an example analysis of decision-making,the optimal selection,determine the protection of the coastal engineering subject and the main body of the policy and strategy,set each decision-making strategy,form the state collection,through the analysis of the pre-ferences of various decision-making body,The equilibrium state is determined according to the definition of equilibrium,which provides the decision-making basis for coastal protection adjacent to shore conflict in reality.

关 键 词：海岸防护工程 收益补偿 冲突图模型 不确定偏好 

分 类 号：P753[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]