农村劳动力外流、农业规模经营与农业碳排放  

Rural Labor Outflow,Agricultural Scale Management,and Agricultural Carbon Emissions

作　　者：陈宇斌 王森 CHEN Yubin;WANG Sen(School of Economics,Shanxi University of Finance and Economics,Taiyuan 030006,China;International Business school,Jinan University,Zhuhai 519000,China)

机构地区：[1]山西财经大学经济学院,山西太原030006 [2]暨南大学国际商学院,广东珠海519000

出　　处：《经济与管理》2022年第6期43-49,共7页Economy and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(17BJL034);山西省软科学研究重点项目(2018042005-1)。

摘　　要：基于1997—2019年省级面板数据,并运用静态面板模型、中介模型和门槛模型等考察农村劳动力外流对农业碳排放的影响及作用机理。研究发现:农村劳动力外流对农业碳排放具有显著的抑制作用;这一作用通过推动农业规模经营实现;进一步分析发现,在农村劳动力持续外流的过程中,农业规模经营对农业碳排放的影响表现为先下降后上升的“U”型非线性特征。由此,应合理引导农村劳动力转移、强化农业规模经营的路径依赖,以推动农业低碳化发展进程并服务于“双碳”战略目标。How does rural labor outflow affect agricultural carbon emissions?Based on the provincial panel data from 1997 to 2019,and with the help of the static panel model,intermediary model,and threshold model,this paper investigates the impact and mechanism of rural labor outflow on agricultural carbon emissions.It is found that the outflow of the rural labor force has a significant inhibitory effect on agricultural carbon emissions;mechanism analysis shows that rural labor outflow can indirectly reduce agricultural carbon emissions by promoting agricultural scale operation;further analysis shows that,in the process of the continuous outflow of the rural labor force,the impact of agricultural scale management on agricultural carbon emissions shows a"U"type nonlinear feature,which first drops and then rises.Therefore,some suggestions are put forward,such as reasonably guiding the transfer of rural labor force and strengthening the path dependence of agricultural scale management,to promote the development of low-carbon agriculture and serve the"doublecarbon"strategic goal.

关 键 词：农业碳排放 农村劳动力外流 农业规模经营 传导机制 门槛特征 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]