动态宏观经济视角下的环境规制政策研究  

Research on Environmental Regulation Policy from the Perspective of Dynamic Macroeconomics

作　　者：贾楠亭 冯宗宪[2] Jia Nanting;Feng Zongxian(Jinhe Center for Economic Research,Xi’an Jiaotong University,Xi’an 710049,China;School of Finance and Economics,Xi’an Jiaotong University,Xi’an 710061,China)

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学金禾经济研究中心,西安710049 [2]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,西安710061

出　　处：《技术经济》2022年第10期122-137,共16页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“基于低碳绿色发展的‘一带一路’区域产业链研究”(19AJY001)。

摘　　要：通过引入环境质量、污染排放、环境规制政策等因素对经典的动态随机一般均衡模型进行拓展,构建了一个包含环境因素,并可用于比较不同环境规制政策作用的分析框架,以此来研究环境税、排污许可证和排放强度三种不同类型的环境规制政策对经济和环境的不同影响。结果表明,环境规制政策对经济活动有抑制作用,在经济波动时能发挥“自动稳定器”作用,其中排放强度政策造成的经济损失最大,环境收益最为明显,排污许可证政策对环境质量提升作用最小,造成的经济损失也最小,“自动稳定器”作用也最为显著;同时,企业单位排放强度的降低能有效减少污染排放,提升环境质量和社会福利,而政府环保投入转化率的提高,对环境和经济的影响非常有限。The classical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model was expanded by introducing factors such as environmental quality,pollution emissions and environmental regulation policies,and constructing an analytical framework including environmental factors and could be used to compare the effects of different environmental regulation policies,so as to study the different impacts on economy and environment of three different types of environmental regulation policies,namely,environmental taxes,emission permits and emission intensity.The results show that the environmental regulation policy has an inhibitory effect on economic activities,and can play an“automatic stabilizer”role in economic fluctuations.Among them,the emission intensity policy causes the largest economic losses,and the environmental benefits are the most obvious.The emission permit policy has the smallest effect on the improvement of environmental quality,but its economic losses are the smallest,and its“automatic stabilizer”role is also the most obvious.At the same time,the decrease in the unit emission intensity of enterprises can effectively reduce pollution emissions and improve environmental quality and social welfare,while the increase in the conversion rate of government environmental protection input has a very limited impact on the environment and economy.

关 键 词：环境规制 宏观经济 DSGE模型 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]