乡村振兴基金对村镇冷链PPP项目投融资的影响——基于演化博弈视角分析  

The Impact of Rural Revitalization Fund on Investment and Financing of Cold Chain PPP Project——An Analysis Based on Evolutionary Game Theory

作　　者：樊文平 王旭坪[1] 杨慧敏 FAN Wen-ping;WANG Xu-ping;YANG Hui-min

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学经济管理学院,辽宁大连116024

出　　处：《中国地质大学学报（社会科学版）》2022年第6期97-111,共15页Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目“村镇社区物流数据共享与集成服务平台研究及示范”(2019YFD1101103)。

摘　　要：针对村镇农产品冷链仓储设施的投资建设问题,考虑财政支农资金无偿补贴和有偿投资(乡村振兴基金)扶持方式,基于乡村振兴基金股权投资特点,构建了扶持该项目的地方政府群体和具有投资意愿的企业群体间的演化博弈模型。随后,刻画了不同持股比例下的系统演化规律,据此探讨持股比例对政企行为的影响机理,并开展了数值仿真分析。研究表明,持股比例对双方策略演化具有显著影响。若企业对地方政府的扶持力度要求较低,政府会结合财政资金充裕程度以适当持股比例选择乡村振兴基金策略,此时企业的策略稳定于投资;若企业对地方政府的扶持力度期望较高,地方政府和企业先是在相应的选择策略之间摇摆不定,PPP项目处于停摆状态,随着企业期望愈发高涨,其策略稳定于投资,而地方政府的策略演化为无偿补贴。本文紧密结合我国农业发展的现实背景,可为政府制定相关政策推动村镇冷链PPP项目的投资建设提供理论依据。In view of the investment of cold chain storage facilities for agricultural products in rural areas,considering the free subsidy and paid investment(rural revitalization fund)of financial support for agriculture.This paper builds an evolutionary game model among local governments supporting cold chain projects and enterprises with investment intentions based on the equity investment characteristics of rural revitalization fund.The system evolution law under different shareholding ratio is described,and the influence mechanism of shareholding ratio on the behavior of participants is discussed and the numerical simulation analysis is carried out.The results show that the shareholding ratio has a significant impact on the evolution of both parties’strategies.If enterprises require less support from local governments,the governments will choose the rural revitalization fund strategy with appropriate shareholding ratio based on the adequacy of financial funds,and the enterprises’strategy is stable in investment.If the enterprises have high expectations for the support from local governments,local governments and enterprises first vacillate between their respective choice strategies,and the PPP projects are in a state of suspension.With the increasing expectations of enterprises,their strategies are stable in investment,while the strategies of local governments evolve into free subsidies.With close attention to the realistic background of China’s agricultural development,the paper provides a theoretical basis for the governments to formulate relevant policies to promote the investment of cold chain PPP projects in rural areas.

关 键 词：村镇冷链仓储项目 PPP模式 补贴机制 乡村振兴基金 股权投资 

分 类 号：F323.9[经济管理—产业经济]