中国农业经济形势分析与展望  

Analysis and Prospect of China's Agricultural Economy

作　　者：王禹[1,2,3,4] 许世卫 李干琼[1,2,3,4] 张永恩 王盛威[1,3] 熊露 Wang Yu;Xu Shiwei;Li Ganqiong;Zhang Yongen;Wang Shengwei;Xiong Lu(Agricultural Information Institute,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081;Research Center of Agricultural Monitoring and Early Warning Engineering Technologies of Beijing,Beijing 100081;Key Open Laboratory of Intelligent Agricultural Early Warning Technologies and Systems,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081;Key Laboratory of Agricultural Information Service Technology of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京100081 [2]北京市农业监测预警工程技术研究中心,北京100081 [3]中国农业科学院智能化农业预警技术与系统重点开放实验室,北京100081 [4]农业农村部农业信息服务技术重点实验室,北京100081

出　　处：《农业展望》2022年第7期8-12,共5页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：中国农业科学院农业信息研究所2022年度科技创新工程任务书(CAAS-ASTIP-2016-AII);2022年中国农业科学院农业信息研究所公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金(JBYW-AII-2022-04)。

摘　　要：当前,中国全面推进乡村振兴,农业生产稳中求进,粮食产量创历史新高,重要农产品供给有保障,为开新局、应变局、稳大局发挥了重要作用,为实现经济社会稳定发展贡献了重要力量。详细介绍了中国当前及未来一段时间的宏观经济社会情况,主要包括经济发展、城乡融合、农业就业、城乡居民收入、居民消费价格等方面,重点分析了当前农业生产的耕地资源、水资源、农业科技和农业政策情况,并从生产、消费、贸易和价格4个方面对2022年及未来10年中国农产品供需形势进行了分析和展望。At present,China has comprehensively promoted rural revitalization,making steady progress in agricultural production,setting a record high grain output,and guaranteeing the supply of important agricultural products.It has played an important role in opening up a new situation,coping with emergencies and stabilizing the overall situation,and contributed an important force to the stable development of economy and society.China's macroeconomic and social situation in the present and future was introduced in detail,mainly including economic development,urban-rural integration,agricultural employment,urban-rural residents'income and residents'consumption price.The current agricultural production situation of cultivated land resources,water resources,agricultural science and technology and agricultural policies were emphatically analyzed,and the supply and demand situation of China's agricultural products in 2022 and the next 10 years were analyzed and forecasted from the four aspects of production,consumption,trade and price.

关 键 词：农业经济 农业生产 农产品消费 农产品价格 农产品贸易 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]