长吉城际铁路对区域经济发展的影响研究  

Study on Influence of Changji Intercity on Regional Economic Development

作　　者：王玉贺 赵俊 荣文竽[1] WANG Yuhe;ZHAO Jun;RONG Wenyu(School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering,Dalian Jiaotong University,Dalian 116028,China;Jilin Railway Technology College,Jilin 132200,China)

机构地区：[1]大连交通大学交通运输工程学院,辽宁大连116028 [2]吉林铁道职业技术学院,吉林吉林132200

出　　处：《大连交通大学学报》2022年第5期13-18,共6页Journal of Dalian Jiaotong University

基　　金：国家铁路局科技研究计划资助项目(TYFK202030)。

摘　　要：为了进一步研究高速铁路开通对区域经济的贡献率,将长吉城际铁路作为研究对象,对研究参数进行了确定,以长吉地区经济总量、三个产业经济总量作为主要的经济指标,客运与货运周转量作为主要的运输指标,借助VENSIM软件构建了长吉城际铁路与长吉地区经济发展的系统动力学模型.通过分析“有”“无”长吉城际铁路对区域经济带来的变化,对各产业的贡献率测算,研究表明:长吉城际铁路的开通,优化了长吉地区的产业结构,增加了沿线周边的经济收益,促进经济平稳增长.In order to study further the contribution rate of high-speed railway to regional economy,Changji intercity railway is taken as the research object,and the parameters are determined.The economic aggregate of Changji region and the economic aggregate of three industries are taken as the main economic indicators,and passenger and freight turnover are taken as the main transportation indicators.With the help of VENSIM software,the system dynamic model of Changji intercity railway and Changji regional economic development is constructed.Based on the analysis of the Changji intercity railway changes in regional economic economy and the calculation of its contribution rate to various industries.The opening of the Changji intercity railway has optimized the industrial structure of the Changji region with increased economic benefits of surrounding areas and promoted steady economic growth.

关 键 词：高速铁路 区域经济 系统动力学 贡献率 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F532.8