中日经贸关系50年:变迁与前瞻  

Fifty Years of China-Japan Economic and Trade Relations:Changes and Prospects

作　　者：张季风[1] Zhang Jifeng

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院日本研究所

出　　处：《日本学刊》2022年第4期68-95,161,162,共30页Japanese Studies

摘　　要：中日邦交正常化50年来两国经贸合作取得的巨大成就是多种因素共同作用的结果,中国经济的蓬勃发展是驱动中日经贸合作健康发展的根本动力,中日经贸合作也为中国经济的发展做出了贡献,两者相互促进、相得益彰。以中国经济发展为主线,可将50年来的中日经贸合作分为五个阶段,各个阶段的中国经济发展对中日经贸合作发挥了不同的驱动作用,中日经贸合作的主要指标与中国经济发展的主要指标在方向上几乎完全趋同,两者存在十分明显的联动关系。中日经贸合作自身存在的互补性、互惠互利性以及合作效应的外溢性也促进了中日经贸合作的健康发展。目前中日政治关系比较紧张,世界经济和中国经济减速压力增大,双边经贸关系面临的挑战大于机遇,短期走向不容乐观;但从长期着眼,随着中国经济的高质量发展,下一个50年的中日经贸合作依然前景可期。The great achievements in bilateral economic and trade cooperation since the normalization of ChinaJapan diplomatic relations 50 years ago are the result of a variety of factors.The vigorous development of China’s economy is the fundamental driving force for the sound development of China-Japan economic and trade cooperation,and China-Japan economic and trade cooperation has also contributed to the development of China’s economy.The two sides promote each other and complement each other.With China’s economic development as the main line,50 years of economic and trade cooperation between China and Japan can be divided into five stages,and in each stage of China’s economic development on economic and trade cooperation between China and Japan plays a different role in driving,the main indicators of China-Japan economic and trade cooperation and an important indicator of economic development in China is almost entirely on the direction of convergence,there is an obvious correlation.The complementary,mutual benefit and spillover effect of China-Japan economic and trade cooperation have also promoted the healthy development of China-Japan economic and trade cooperation.At present,the political relations between China and Japan are quite tense,the pressure of slowing down the world economy and China’s economy is increasing,the bilateral economic and trade relations face more challenges than opportunities,and the short-term future is not optimistic.However,in the long run,with the high-quality development of China’s economy,the economic and trade cooperation between China and Japan in the next 50 years is still promising.

关 键 词：中日邦交正常化 50 年 中日经贸关系 中国经济 日元货款 东亚生产网络 

分 类 号：D822.3[政治法律—政治学] F131.3[政治法律—外交学]