以经济合作打破朝鲜半岛发展困境  

A Study on Breaking the Dilemma of Development on the Korean Peninsula through Economic Cooperation

作　　者：李天国[1] LI Tianguo

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院

出　　处：《东北亚学刊》2022年第6期56-69,147,148,共16页Journal of Northeast Asia Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“后全球金融危机时期新兴经济体国家风险形成机制研究”(项目编号:15BGJ033)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：朝鲜半岛的安全困局是影响东北亚经济合作的重要因素。当前,朝鲜与一些国家之间无法形成互信关系,这大幅提高了朝韩等国家的经济发展成本。东北亚地区不确定性上升,增加了地区国家的对外贸易与投资风险。随着国际形势变化,朝鲜正改变国家发展战略,其发展经济的意愿也愈发强烈。在传统谈判方式屡遭挫折的情况下,有必要通过加强经济合作,打破朝鲜半岛发展困境。在国际制裁背景下,国际社会可围绕疫情防控、抵御自然灾害、粮食供应等方面加强对朝合作。从长期看,朝韩两国有必要考虑重启开城工业园区,而朝鲜可通过经济特区和经济开发区加强引进外资。朝鲜也可逐步参与“一带一路”建设,与东北亚地区国家一同推动构建“东北亚经济合作走廊”。The security dilemma on the Korean Peninsula is an important factor affecting the economic cooperation in Northeast Asia.At present,the lack of mutual trust between the DPRK and some countries has significantly raised the cost of economic development for DPRK,ROK and other countries.The rising uncertainty in Northeast Asia has increased the foreign trade and investment risks of countries in the region.With the changes in the international situation,North Korea is changing its national development strategy,and its willingness to develop its economy is becoming stronger.In the face of repeated setbacks in traditional negotiation methods,it is necessary to strengthen economic cooperation to break the development dilemma on the Korean Peninsula.Against the backdrop of international sanctions,the international community can strengthen cooperation with the DPRK on epidemic prevention and control,natural disasters and food supply.In the long term,DPRK and ROK should consider restarting the Kaesong Industrial complex,while the North steps up its efforts to attract foreign investment through special economic zones and development zones.North Korea can also gradually participate in the Belt and Road Initiative and work with other countries in Northeast Asia to build a Northeast Asia economic cooperation corridor.

关 键 词：朝鲜半岛 安全困局 经济合作 发展困境 东北亚经济合作走廊 

分 类 号：F131.25[经济管理—世界经济]