京津冀城市群制造业与现代服务业融合水平测度及时空演化分析  

Measurement and Spatio-temporal Evolution of the Integration Level of Manufacturing Industry and Modern Service Industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration

作　　者：翁钢民[1,2] 赵心 潘越 WENG Gang-min;ZHAO Xin;PAN Yue(School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004;Research Center for Regional Economic Development,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004,China)

机构地区：[1]燕山大学经济管理学院,河北秦皇岛066004 [2]燕山大学区域经济发展研究中心,河北秦皇岛066004

出　　处：《地理与地理信息科学》2022年第6期119-125,共7页Geography and Geo-Information Science

基　　金：河北省软科学项目(21557625D);国家社会科学基金项目(19FGLB0001);河北省自然科学基金项目(G2020203023);河北省社会科学发展研究课题(20220303205)。

摘　　要：制造业与现代服务业融合发展是京津冀城市群实现高质量发展的重要动力,该文通过耦合协调度模型对2010-2019年京津冀城市群制造业与现代服务业的融合发展水平进行测算,借助标准差椭圆模型与地理探测器探究其时空演化特征及空间分异形成机理。结果显示:1)研究期内京津冀城市群制造业与现代服务业耦合协调水平呈稳步上升态势,但整体融合水平偏低,且城市间差距明显,北京—衡水差距最大;2)京津冀城市群制造业与现代服务业融合标准差椭圆呈东北—西南格局分布,重心移动方向为西南→东北,空间分布趋势由集聚变为扩散;3)外资强度、金融支撑、政府支持和科技创新为高作用力影响因子,产业结构、教育发展影响力较低,双因子交互作用的影响强度均高于单因子。The integrated development of manufacturing industry and modern service industry is an important driving force for Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration to achieve high-quality economic development.This paper calculates the integration development level of manufacturing industry and modern service industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration from 2010 to 2019 using the coupling coordination degree model,explores the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and formation mechanism of spatial differentiation for the integration of manufacturing industry and modern service industry with the help of standard deviation ellipse model and Geodetector.The results show that:1) During the study period,the average coupling coordination degree of manufacturing industry and modern service industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration showed a steady upward trend,but the overall integration level was low,and the difference between cities was obvious,with the maximum difference between Beijing and Hengshui.2) The standard deviation ellipse of the integration of manufacturing industry and modern service industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration was distributed in the northeast to southwest pattern,the moving direction of the center of gravity was southwest to northeast,and the spatial distribution changed from agglomeration to diffusion.3) The intensity of foreign investment,financial support,government support and scientific and technological innovation were high impact factors,the impacts of industrial structure and educational development were low,and the impact intensity of the interaction of two factors was higher than that of single factor.

关 键 词：耦合协调度 制造业 现代服务业 产业融合 京津冀城市群 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济] F719