基于灰色关联分析的休闲渔业与相关产业耦合协调发展研究  

Study on the coupling and coordinated development of recreational fishery and related industries based on Grey Relational Analysis

作　　者：祁思琼 赵奇蕾 陈桂莹 陈新军[1,2,3,4] QI Si-qiong;ZHAO Qi-lei;CHEN Gui-ying;CHEN Xin-jun(College of Marine Sciences,Shanghai Ocean University,Shanghai 201306,China;Key Laboratory of Oceanic Fisheries Exploration,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Shanghai 201306,China;National Engineering Research Center for Oceanic Fisheries,Shanghai 201306,China;Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources,Ministry of Education,Shanghai 201306,China)

机构地区：[1]上海海洋大学海洋科学学院,上海201306 [2]农业农村部大洋渔业开发重点实验室,上海201306 [3]国家远洋渔业工程技术研究中心,上海201306 [4]大洋渔业资源可持续开发省部共建教育部重点实验室,上海201306

出　　处：《中国渔业经济》2022年第5期47-56,共10页Chinese Fisheries Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(41276156)项目资助。

摘　　要：发展休闲渔业是现代渔业建设的重要内容,是加快渔业转方式、调结构的重要抓手,是推进渔业供给侧结构性改革的重要方向。论文以产业融合为视角,对中国沿海8省(市)2006-2019年休闲渔业与相关产业进行灰色关联分析,并结合耦合协调度模型测度产业间的互动关系,预测2020-2024年产业耦合协调度发展情况。结果显示:2006-2019年沿海省(市)休闲渔业与9项相关产业指标呈现中高度关联,其中与水产养殖业关联度最高为0.8019;沿海各省(市)休闲渔业与水产养殖业耦合协调度整体由2006年中度失调提升至2019年濒临失调。截至2019年,除福建外,其余7省(市)耦合度均呈现高水平耦合状态;2020-2024年休闲渔业与水产养殖业的耦合协调度呈现小幅度上升趋势,但不同地区具有明显差异,其中山东、广东、江苏处于良好与优质协调阶段,上海、天津则处于严重失调阶段。基于上述得出结论:中国沿海8省(市)休闲渔业发展不平衡,地区间差异明显,创新产业融合形式,因地制宜发展特色休闲渔业,才能促进休闲渔业高质量发展。Recreational fishery is an important content of modern fishery construction, an important starting point to accelerate the transformation of fishery mode and structural adjustment,and an important direction to promote the structural reform of fishery supply side. From the perspective of industrial integration, this study conducts a Grey Relational Analysis of recreational fishery and related industries in 8 coastal provinces(cities) in China from 2006 to 2019, and measures the interaction between industries by Coupling Coordination Degree Model. Finally, it predicts the development of industrial coupling coordination degree from 2006 to 2019. The results show that there is a medium high correlation between recreational fishery and nine related industrial indexes in coastal provinces(cities) from 2006 to 2019, and the highest correlation with aquaculture is 0.8019. The overall coupling coordination degree of recreational fishery and aquaculture in coastal provinces(cities) increased from moderate imbalance in 2006 to near imbalance in 2019. By 2019,except Fujian, the coupling degree of other provinces(cities) shows a high level of coupling state.From 2006 to 2019,, the coupling coordination degree of recreational fishery and aquaculture industry will show a slight upward trend, but there are significant differences in different regions,among which Shandong, Guangdong and Jiangsu are in the stage of good and high quality coordination, while Shanghai and Tianjin are in the stage of serious imbalance. Finally, it is concluded that the development of recreational fishery in 8 coastal provinces(cities) in China is unbalanced and the regional differences are obvious. It is necessary to develop characteristic recreational fishery according to local conditions, innovate the form of industrial integration, and promote the high-quality development of recreational fishery.

关 键 词：休闲渔业 产业融合 灰色关联 耦合协调度 

分 类 号：F326.416[经济管理—产业经济]