基于三角模糊数与集对分析的城轨多制式系统耦合度分析  

Analysis of Coupling Degree of Urban Rail Multi-Standard System Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Set Pair Analysis

作　　者：李志成[1,2] 吴芳 田亮[4] LI Zhicheng;WU Fang;TIAN Liang(Department of Urban Rail Transit and information Engineering,Anhui Communications Vocational and Technical College,Hefei 230051,Anhui,China;School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu Sichuan 611756,China;School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou Gansu 730070,China;Shenzhen Metro Group Co.,Ltd.,Shenzhen Guangdong 518040,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽交通职业技术学院城市轨道交通与信息工程系,安徽合肥230051 [2]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都611756 [3]兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州730070 [4]深圳地铁集团,广东深圳518040

出　　处：《佳木斯大学学报（自然科学版）》2022年第6期106-111,138,共7页Journal of Jiamusi University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：2022年安徽省高校学科(专业)拔尖人才学术项目(gxbjZD2022148);安徽省高校自然科学研究重点项目(KJ2020A1064,KJ2021A1472);安徽省质量工程项目资助(2021jyxm0287,2021kcszsfkc096,2020szsfkc030,2020zyq24,2020jyxm0378,2020jyxm0376);安徽省职业教育创新发展试验区培育库项目资助(WJ-PTZT-178)。

摘　　要：城轨多制式系统耦合度是一个具备确定不确定性的多属性决策问题,为了进行定量分析,构建了城市轨道交通多制式耦合度评价指标体系,并采用三角模糊数和集对分析方法,建立城轨多种制式结构合理性评价分析模型,第一层利用熵值法确定各指标权重;第二层利用区间可能度法确定各准则指标权重。最后,对内陆具备3种以上制式的9家城轨企业多制式系统耦合度进行综合评价。结果表明:该评价方法具有较高的置信水平,可为今后城市轨道交通多种制式的规划、建设与运营提供科学合理的决策依据。Urban rail system coupling is a system has more determine the uncertainty of the multiple attribute decision making problems,in order to quantitatively analyze,build the evaluation index system of urban rail transit system more coupling,and USES the method of triangular fuzzy number and set pair analysis,urban rail a variety of formats structure rationality evaluation model is set up,the first layer by using entropy value method to determine the index weight;The second layer uses interval probability method to determine the weight of each criterion index.Finally,the coupling degree of the multi-system of nine inland urban rail enterprises with more than three systems is comprehensively evaluated.The RESULTS SHOW THAT THE evaluation method has a high confidence level,which can provide a scientific and reasonable decision-making basis for the planning,construction and operation of urban rail transit in the future.

关 键 词：城轨多制式系统 耦合度 三角模糊数 集对分析 熵值法 区间数可能度 

分 类 号：U292[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]