基于灰色系统理论的生态环境-城镇化-旅游业的非协调性耦合识别及优化研究——以重庆市为例  

Identification and Optimization of Uncoordinated Coupling of Ecology-Urbanization-Tourism Based on Gray System Theory:A Case Study of Chongqing

作　　者：杨光明[1] 杨芸瑞 桂青青 YANG Guangming;YANG Yunrui;GUI Qingqing(College of Management,Chongqing University of Technology,Chongqing 400054,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆理工大学管理学院,重庆400054

出　　处：《曲靖师范学院学报》2022年第6期91-101,共11页Journal of Qujing Normal University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“长江经济带生态保护和高质量发展的非协调性耦合识别与协同机制创新研究”(20AJY005);重庆市教委科学技术项目“成渝双城经济圈城镇化—生态化—科技化—旅游业非协调耦合识别与路径优化研究”(KJQN202101122);重庆理工大学研究生创新项目“成渝双城经济圈能源消耗、生态承载与经济发展复合系统协调发展路径研究”(clgycx20203044).

摘　　要：[目的]生态环境、城镇化与旅游业各系统发展对社会经济协调持续发展至关重要,理清三大系统之间的关系与现状对重庆市未来发展具有重要意义.[方法]以重庆市为研究对象,基于灰色系统理论,从非协调性耦合角度对重庆市生态环境、城镇化及旅游业系统展开研究.通过构建灰色关联模型和非协调耦合模型探究重庆市生态环境、城镇化与旅游业的协调发展状况.[结果]①生态环境、城镇化与旅游业系统内部各指标关联度均在0.5以上,即各指标对生态环境、城镇化及旅游业发展有较强影响.系统间关联度均在0.65以上,处于高或极高关联水平,即各系统之间联系紧密,相互影响.②2000—2019年期间,生态环境、城镇化与旅游业发展水平整体上均呈现上升态势,但生态环境受旅游业及城镇化影响,呈现较大波动.③生态环境、城镇化与旅游业非协调耦合度从2000年的0.7304降至2019年的0.0751,非协调耦合程度在逐渐减弱,系统之间协调发展水平越来越好.[结论]重庆市生态环境、城镇化与旅游业三大系统之间关系紧密,且非协调水平较低.未来城镇化建设和旅游业发展过程中,应更加注重生态环境修复,达到各系统之间协调可持续发展.[Objective]The development of each system of ecological environment,urbanization and tourism is crucial to the coordinated and sustainable socioeconomic development,and it is important to clarify the relationship and current situation among the three systems for the future development of Chongqing city.[Methods]Based on the gray system theory,the ecological environment,urbanization and tourism systems in Chongqing were studied from the perspective of non-coordinated coupling.The coordinated development of ecological environment,urbanization and tourism in Chongqing was explored by constructing gray correlation model and non-coordinated coupling model.[Results]①The correlation degree of each indicator within the system of ecological environment,urbanization and tourism is above 0.5,with each indicator having a strong influence on the development of ecological environment,urbanization and tourism.The inter-system correlations are all above 0.65,which are at high or very high correlation levels,with the systems being closely linked and influence each other.②The ecological environment,urbanization and tourism development levels all show an overall increase during 2000-2019,but the ecological environment is influenced by tourism and urbanization,showing large fluctuations.③The non-coordinated coupling degree of ecological environment,urbanization and tourism decreased from 0.7304 in 2000 to 0.0751 in 2019,and the non-coordinated coupling degree is gradually weakening,and the level of coordinated development among systems is getting better.[Conclusion]The relationship between the three systems of ecological environment,urbanization and tourism in Chongqing is close and the level of non-coordination is low.In the process of future urbanization and tourism development,more attention should be paid to ecological environment restoration to achieve coordinated and sustainable development among the systems.

关 键 词：灰色系统理论 旅游业 城镇化 生态环境 非协调性耦合 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]