绿色信贷、技术创新对中国林业产业结构的交互影响  

The Interaction of Green Credit and Technology Innovation on theForestry Industry Structure in China

作　　者：路亚欣 张彩虹[1] LU Yaxin;ZHANG Caihong(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2022年第5期524-531,共8页Issues of Forestry Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21BJY247)。

摘　　要：结合2008—2019年28个省(区、市)的面板数据,采用静态FGLS固定效应模型、动态系统GMM模型和面板门槛模型探讨绿色信贷、技术创新对林业产业结构的具体作用效果。结果表明:绿色信贷、技术创新对林业产业结构均具有显著促进作用;在绿色信贷与技术创新的交互作用下,绿色信贷、技术创新对林业产业结构的影响效应基本呈现增强态势,但绿色信贷发展和林业技术创新水平匹配度不够;绿色信贷和林业技术创新互为门槛变量,二者对林业产业结构均存在单门槛效应。因此,为推动林业产业结构优化,应加大绿色信贷的支持和引导作用,提升林业人力资本水平和专利成果转化率,注重绿色信贷与林业技术创新的融合发展。⑴Background——Green credit is the main part of China s green finance system.The interaction between green credit and technology innovation is an important driving force for the transformation and upgrading of the forestry industry structure,and also an important means to realize the high-quality development of modern forestry.To discuss the specific effects of green credit and technology innovation on China s forestry industry structure can provide a theoretical basis for the high-quality development of modern forestry.⑵Methods——This paper proposes the research hypotheses by analyzing the potential impact mechanism of green credit(hpc)and forestry technology innovation(tepscore)on the forestry industry structure(nfishc).Based on the panel data of 28 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)from 2008 to 2019,the static FGLS fixed effects model of C-D production function is used to explore the interaction effects of green credit and technology innovation on the forestry industry structure.Meanwhile,in order to solve the possible endogeneity problem of the model and analyze the influence of interaction terms on the interrelation between green credit and technology innovation,the lagged terms of the explained variables are added and the dynamic system GMM model is used to estimate the interaction of green credit and technology innovation on the forestry industry structure.⑶Results——Firstly,green credit and forestry technology innovation both play a significant role in promoting the forestry industry structure.Among them,every 1%increase in the level of green credit will increase the forestry industry structure by 0.126%,every 1%increase in the level of forestry technology innovation will increase the forestry industry structure by 0.114%.Secondly,the interaction between green credit and forestry technology innovation can indeed enhance their effects of promoting the optimization of forestry industry structure,what s more,green credit and forestry technology innovation are threshold variables t

关 键 词：绿色信贷 林业技术创新 林业产业结构 门槛效应 

分 类 号：F326.20[经济管理—产业经济]