总体国家安全观下重大突发事件的智能决策情报体系研究  

Intelligent Decision-making Information System for Major Emergencies:A Holistic Approach to National Security

作　　者：张海涛[1,2,3] 栾宇[1] 周红磊 张鑫蕊 庞宇飞 刘伟利 Zhang Haitao;Luan Yu;Zhou Honglei;Zhang Xinrui;Pang Yufei;Liu Weili(School of Business and Management,Jilin University,Changchun 130012;Information Resources Research Center,Jilin University,Changchun 130012;Institute of National Development and Security Studies,Jilin University,Changchun 130012)

机构地区：[1]吉林大学商学与管理学院,长春130012 [2]吉林大学信息资源研究中心,长春130012 [3]吉林大学国家发展与安全研究院,长春130012

出　　处：《情报学报》2022年第11期1174-1187,共14页Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“总体国家安全观下重大突发事件的智能决策情报体系研究”(20&ZD125)。

摘　　要：重大突发事件治理是一项复杂系统工程。国家安全风险与应急管理问题紧密交织,贯穿于重大突发事件治理过程的始终。重大突发事件智能决策情报体系是防范化解国家安全风险、统筹谋划应急管理工作的关键所在。本文在总体国家安全观指导下,以国家安全与应急管理双重需求为牵引导向,以贯穿于“物理-信息-社会”三元世界的“信息-情报-业务”反馈循环链路为线索,从认知框架、系统架构与组织架构三个层面深入探讨了重大突发事件智能决策情报体系的理论认知与架构运行等问题,解释了情报需求、情报智慧与情报决策的概念内涵,提出了数据与知识双驱动的情报系统架构以及“大情报事业群”的建设构想,指出总体国家安全观下重大突发事件智能决策情报体系在“耳目、尖兵、参谋”的角色定位之上,还发挥着主导引领管理行为的重要作用。The management of major emergencies is a complicated task.National security risk is intertwined with emergency management,which coincides with the governance process for major emergencies.An intelligent decision-making information system for major emergencies is the key to preventing national security risks and conducting emergency management.This study is guided by the dual need for national security and emergency management from the perspective of overall national security.The feedback cycle of“information-intelligence-business”is a common theme running through the“physical-cyber-social”ternary world.This study is an in-depth investigation of the theoretical cognition and structural operation of the intelligent decision-making information system,based on three aspects:cognitive framework,system architecture,and organizational structure.The concepts of information demand,intelligence wisdom,and intelligence decision are explained.The information system architecture,driven by data and knowledge,is discussed.We put forward the idea of constructing“Large Information Business Groups”and suggest that an intelligent decision-making information system for major emergencies under overall national security,not only plays the roles of“detector,scout,and consultant,”but also guides management.

关 键 词：重大突发事件 应急管理 情报决策 情报智慧 情报体系 

分 类 号：G350[文化科学—情报学] D631[政治法律—政治学]