救援海洋平台遇险落水人员的船舶调度优化方法  

Optimization method of ship dispatching for emergency rescue of personnel falling overboard on offshore platform

作　　者：彭荣琦 孔得朋 庞文棣 洪宛茹 PENG Rongqi;KONG Depeng;PANG Wendi;HONG Wanru(College of Mechanical and Electronic Engineering,China University of Petroleum(East China),Qingdao Shandong 266580,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学(华东)机电工程学院,山东青岛266580

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2022年第11期208-215,共8页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(51874344)。

摘　　要：为减少海洋平台事故损失,合理调度救援资源,满足人员救援需求,以燃爆事故下的海洋平台应急救援为例,同时考虑遇险目标以多种形式撤离平台,下落至水中,基于漂移预测路径提出应急救援船舶调度优化方法。根据漂移预测方法,研究遇险目标漂移路径,确定搜寻区域,对比不同目标函数,选取最大化累积成功概率(POS)和最小化船舶出动数量作为目标,提出单目标和多目标优化方法,以平衡不同决策目标。研究结果表明:相比于单遇险形式,整合多种遇险形式后,前往各子区域的船舶调度规划趋于合理,提高了海上救援应急响应的实效性,避免了救援资源的调度矛盾与浪费。基于该方法,决策者可根据不同决策需求调整目标函数权重,确定较优权重区间,合理分配救援资源。In order to reduce the loss of offshore platform accidents,reasonable dispatch of rescue resources to meet the rescue needs of personnel,taking the emergency rescue of the offshore platform under the explosion accident as the case,considering multiple forms of the evacuation of the target from the platform to the water,a novel optimization method for the scheduling management of rescue ships was proposed based on the drift prediction path.According to the drift prediction model,the drift path of the targets in distress was studied and the search area was determined.By comparing different objective functions,the maximum cumulative probability of success(POS)and the minimum number of dispatched ships were selected as the objectives.Then,the single-objective optimization and multi-objective optimization models were constructed to balance the different objectives.The results show that the ship dispatch planning to each sub-region after integrating multiple distress forms tended to be reasonable compared to single distress forms.It improved the effectiveness of maritime rescue emergency response and avoided scheduling conflicts and the waste of rescue resources.Based on the model,the decision makers could adjust the objective function weights according to different decision needs and then determine the better weight interval to achieve a reasonable allocation of rescue resources.

关 键 词：海洋平台 落水人员 海上搜救 船舶调度 优化方法 

分 类 号：X928.02[环境科学与工程—安全科学]