中国洋葱出口价格波动特征及其影响因素研究  

Study on the Fluctuation Characteristics and Infl uencing Factors of China's Onion Export Price

作　　者：王晶[1] 周悦[1] 白丽[1] WANG Jing;ZHOU Yue;BAI Li(Hebei Agricultural University,Baoding 071000,China)

机构地区：[1]河北农业大学,河北保定071000

出　　处：《蔬菜》2022年第12期55-60,共6页Vegetables

基　　金：财政部和农业农村部——国家现代农业产业技术体系资助项目(CARS-24–F-01);河北省高层次人才资助项目(C201876);河北省高校人文社科研究项目(BJ2019063)。

摘　　要：中国是蔬菜出口大国,洋葱在中国蔬菜的出口量中位居前列,不仅能调剂蔬菜市场供应,而且是出口创汇的主要蔬菜品种之一。通过收集2011—2021年洋葱出口的相关数据,分析了中国洋葱出口价格波动特征及其影响因素。在此基础上,以2017—2021年月度平均价格为研究对象,运用Census X-12季节调整法和H-P滤波分析对洋葱出口价格波动特征进行探究,对各影响因素进行分析,并提出了深化农产品价格透明度建设、加强对市场炒作行为的管控、稳定现有洋葱出口市场、拓展洋葱出口市场规模等建议。China is a major exporter of vegetables,and onion is in the forefront of China's vegetable exports.It can not only adjust the supply of vegetables in the market,but also are one of the main vegetable cultivars that earn foreign exchange through exports.The relevant data of onion export from 2011 to 2021 was collected to analyze the fl uctuation characteristics and infl uencing factors of Chinese onion export price.On this basis,the monthly average price from 2017 to 2021 was taken as the research object by using the Census X-12 seasonal adjustment method and H-P filter analysis to explore the fluctuation characteristics of onion export price and analyze the infl uencing factors.Suggestions were put forward,such as deepening the construction of transparency of agricultural product price,strengthening the control of market speculation,stabilizing the existing onion export market and expanding the scale of the onion export market.

关 键 词：洋葱 价格 波动特征 影响因素 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.62