黄河水质与沿线城市社会适应能力耦合协调分析  

Coupling coordination analysis between river water quality and social adaptability of cities along the Yellow River

作　　者：王梅[1,2] 秦于晴 左其亭[1,2] 陈文鹏 吴佩鹏 WANG Mei;QIN Yuqing;ZUO Qiting;CHEN Wenpeng;WU Peipeng(School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China;Yellow River Institute for Ecological Protection&Regional Coordination Development,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China;China National Environmental Monitoring Centre,Beijing 100012,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水利与土木工程学院,河南郑州450001 [2]郑州大学黄河生态保护与区域协调发展研究院,河南郑州450001 [3]中国环境监测总站,北京100012

出　　处：《水资源与水工程学报》2022年第6期1-9,共9页Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering

基　　金：河南省重点研发与推广专项(科技攻关)项目(192102310248);国家自然科学基金项目(42102286);国家重点研发计划课题(2021YFC3200201)。

摘　　要：通过建立黄河水质与社会适应能力评价指标体系,结合主成分分析法和熵权法,定量揭示2012-2019年黄河沿线11个城市的黄河水质与社会适应能力的演变趋势,并对两者的耦合协调发展态势进行了分析。结果表明:研究区内多数城市黄河水质多年平均状况良好,仅运城市和呼和浩特市河段水质较差,以营养物和有机物污染为主;多数城市社会适应能力呈波动上升趋势,运城市则稳定在最低水平,菏泽市次之,经济支撑薄弱是两城市低社会适应水平的主因;城市黄河水质与社会适应能力两系统整体处于良好耦合、中级协调状态,黄河水质整体上具备承载沿线城市经济社会发展的潜能,但社会适应能力系统应对黄河水环境恶化所能产生的社会修复稍有欠缺;菏泽市、呼和浩特市和银川市处于初级协调状态,运城市处于勉强协调状态,两系统间存在单向乃至双向约束。On the basis of the established evaluation index systems for the Yellow River(YR)water quality and city social adaptability,the principal component analysis method combined with entropy weight method was applied to quantitatively reveal the evolution trend of the YR water quality and social adaptability of 11 cities along the YR from 2012 to 2019,and the coupling coordination trend of the two was analyzed.The results showed that the multiyear average YR water quality in most cities in the study area was generally good,except Yuncheng and Hohhot,which lagged behind by nutrient and organic pollution primarily.The social adaptability of most cities showed a fluctuating upward trend,Yuncheng was stable at the lowest level,followed by Heze,and weak economic support was found to be the main reason for the low-level social adaptability of both cities.The two systems,i.e.,water quality and social adaptability,were generally in good coupling and intermediate coordinated state,and the YR water quality system had the potential to carry the social and economic development of the cities along the YR,but the social adaptability system fell short in generating enough social restoration in response to the potential water environment deterioration of the YR.Heze,Hohhot and Yinchuan were primarily coordinated,Yuncheng was barely coordinated,and there existed one-way or even two-way constraints between the two systems.

关 键 词：黄河水质 沿黄城市 社会适应能力 耦合协调 主成分分析 污染分担率 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]