印度对华安全困境泛化的表现、动因及其纾困政策路径  

Generalization of India’s Security Dilemma Towards China:Manifestations,Motivations and Rescue Policy Options

作　　者：吴兆礼[1] Wu Zhaoli

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院

出　　处：《南亚研究季刊》2022年第4期20-38,155,156,共21页South Asian Studies Quarterly

基　　金：国家社科基金中国历史研究院重大研究专项“兰台学术计划”委托项目(21@WTY002)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：加勒万河谷冲突事件后,印度对华安全困境加剧并显著泛化,开始扩展到中印双边政治、经济、文化等多个领域。印度对华安全困境泛化受多种因素驱动,其中既有边界争端这一历史性遗留问题的现实影响,有两国综合国力差距拉大后印度对华认知变化的推动,也有南亚地区地缘政治与百年变局下大国博弈加剧的作用。以实力对实力是印度应对安全困境的核心路径。为此,印度推进“新印度战略”,强化经济实力与军事能力建设,加大对邻国政策力度,提出“印太海洋倡议”,深化印太框架内与美日澳战略协调,推进“四边安全对话”机制化和扩大化。可以预判,印度对华安全困境是一种长期现象,这将导致印度对华政策始终具有两面性。After the conflict in the Galwan Valley,India’s security dilemma towards China was aggravated and significantly generalized,and began to extend to the bilateral political,economic and cultural fields.The generalization of India’s security dilemma is driven by many factors,including the realistic impact of border disputes,the change of India’s perception of China after the gap of comprehensive national power has widened,and the role of geopolitical development in South Asia and the intensified great power strategic competition.Strength against strength is the core approach for India to deal with security dilemmas.Therefore India promotes the New India Strategy to strengthen economic strength and military capacity building,steps up its policy towards neighboring countries,launches the Indo-Pacific Ocean Initiatives,and deepens strategic coordination with the United States,Japan and Australia within the IndoPacific framework,and advances the institutionalization and expansion of the Quad.It can be predicted that India’s security dilemma towards China is a longterm phenomenon,and India’s China policy will always be both positive and negative.

关 键 词：安全困境泛化 印度对华政策 印太海洋倡议 美日印澳 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]