基于小波分析的不同类型旅游景区旅游流时间特征研究--以江苏省125家高等级旅游景区为例  

Study on the Temporal Characteristics of Tourist Flow in Different Types of Scenic Spots Based on Wavelet Analysis:A Case Study of 125 High-level Scenic Spots in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：罗润 周年兴[1,2] 谢秋逸 马世豪 LUO Run;ZHOU Nianxing;XIE Qiuyi;MA Shihao(School of Geography Science,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China;Jiangsu Center of Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China;School of Public Administration,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China)

机构地区：[1]南京师范大学地理科学学院,南京210023 [2]江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,南京210023 [3]南京农业大学公共管理学院,南京210095

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2022年第6期99-104,共6页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41671140);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX21_1298)。

摘　　要：基于江苏省125家高等级景区2017年1月1日至2020年12月31日的客流量数据,运用小波分析和Mann-Kendall突变检验等方法从趋势性、周期性、突变性和季节性4个角度分析不同类型景区旅游流的时间特征。结果表明:(1)产业融合类、历史文化类、自然生态类和现代游乐类景区游客量的趋势曲线分别呈“单峰双谷”“双峰双谷”“多峰多谷”和“双峰双谷”型。(2)四类景区客流量呈多周期性的特征且第一主周期存在差异性。产业融合类和历史文化类景区约19个月形成1个周期,呈现“长周期”特征;现代游乐类和自然生态类景区约6个月形成1个周期,呈现“短周期”特征。(3)四类景区的客流量突变点存在差异性。产业融合类景区呈“突变点少、春季集中”的特征,自然生态类景区呈“突变点多、四季分散”的特征,现代游乐类和历史文化类景区呈“突变点多、春冬集中”的特征。(4)4个大类和16个亚类景区的淡旺季分布、长度和淡旺程度存在显著差异。(5)受疫情影响,2020年旅游景区旅游流的趋势性、突变性和季节性具有特殊性。Based on the tourist flow data of 125 high-level scenic spots in Jiangsu Province from January 1,2017 to December 31,2020,this paper analyzed the temporal characteristics of tourist flows of different types of scenic spots in Jiangsu Province from four perspectives of trend,periodicity,mutation and seasonality by using different research methods including wavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall mutation test.The results showed that:(1)The trend factor curves of industrial integration,historical culture,natural ecology and modern amusement spots show the characteristics of“single peak and double valley”“double peak and double valley”“multi-peak and multi-valley”,and“double peak and double valley”,respectively.(2)The monthly tourist flows of the four types of scenic spots all show the characteristics of multi-cycle,and there are differences in the first main cycle of different types of scenic spots.Industrial integration and historical and cultural scenic spots form a cycle of about 19 months,showing the characteristics of“long cycle”.Modern amusement and natural ecological scenic spots form a cycle of 6 months,showing the characteristics of“short cycle”.(3)The abrupt change points of the monthly tourist flows of the four types of scenic spots are different.The industrial integration scenic spots show the characteristics of“fewer sudden changes-concentrated in spring”,the historical and cultural and modern amusement scenic spots show the characteristics of“more sudden changes-concentrated in spring and winter”,and the natural ecological scenic spots show the characteristics of“more sudden changes-scattered in four seasons”.(4)Seasonality of industrial integration,historical culture,modern amusement and natural ecology scenic spots is obviously different.The seasonality of 16 subcategories of tourist attractions,such as water landscape,leisure and vacation,science and technology education and cultural museums,is also significantly different.(5)Influenced by the Covid-19 epidemic,the tre

关 键 词：小波分析 旅游流 景区类型 时间特征 江苏省 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]