城市物流系统风险评估研究  

Research on risk assessment of urban logistics system

作　　者：王安娜 王雪栋 钱城江 Wang Anna;Wang Xuedong;Qian Chengjiang(Nanjing University of Finance&Economics Hongshan College,Nanjing 210003,China;Emergency Management Bureau of Zhenjiang,Zhenjiang 212000,China;Nanjing NJTech Emergency Technology Co.,Ltd.,Nanjing 210047,China)

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学红山学院,江苏南京210003 [2]镇江市应急管理局,江苏镇江212000 [3]南京南工应急科技有限公司,江苏南京210047

出　　处：《江苏科技信息》2022年第34期42-45,共4页Jiangsu Science and Technology Information

基　　金：2019年度江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目,项目名称:城市物流系统风险评估及预警机制研究——以南京市为例,项目编号:2019SJA2097;2022年度南京财经大学红山学院教育教学改革重点课题,项目名称:产教融合的人才培养模式研究,项目编号:JGZD2202。

摘　　要：为明确城市物流风险演化趋势,建立有效的风险管控措施,文章综合分析城市物流风险影响因素,运用系统动力学理论与方法,构建城市物流系统风险模型,并利用Vensim软件动态模拟城市物流风险值,从城市物流实际风险角度,提出提升城市物流运行质量的政策措施。研究结果表明:随着时间的推移,城市物流风险呈现波动下降的趋势,其中设施设备要及时检维修,控制故障率;对物流从业人员要做好新员工培训以及业务的定期培训,降低人员不可靠性风险;完善物流业务流程,做好物流业务流程衔接。In order to clarify the evolution trend of urban logistics risk,establish effective risk control measures,this paper comprehensively analyze the influencing factors of urban logistics risk,use the theory and method of system dynamics to construct the risk model of urban logistics system,and use Vensim software to dynamically simulate the risk value of urban logistics.From the perspective of the actual risk of urban logistics,the policy measures to improve the quality of urban logistics operations are proposed.The results show that with the passage of time,the risk of urban logistics shows a trend of fluctuating decline,in which the facilities and equipment should be inspected and repaired in time to control the failure rate;for logistics practitioners to do a good job of new staff training and regular training of business,reduce the risk of personnel unreliability;improve the logistics business process,logistics business process convergence.

关 键 词：城市物流 系统风险 系统动力学 风险评估 

分 类 号：C93[经济管理—管理学]