国际油公司勘探战略对标评价方法初探  

Preliminary study on exploration strategy benchmarking evaluation method of international oil companies

作　　者：李志[1] 李富恒[1] 侯平[1] 康海亮 许海龙[1] 屈珺雅 Li Zhi;Li Fuheng;Hou Ping;Kang Hailiang;Xu Hailong;Qu Junya(PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration&Development)

机构地区：[1]中国石油勘探开发研究院

出　　处：《中国石油勘探》2022年第6期137-144,共8页China Petroleum Exploration

基　　金：中国石油天然气股份有限公司科学研究与技术开发项目“海外油气勘探项目资产评估与规划决策技术研究”(2021DJ3106)。

摘　　要：新形势下中国石油海外勘探业务面临存量勘探资产规模发展难、增量优质勘探资产获取难的双重困境,海外勘探业务该向何处去,这是一个亟待回答和解决的问题。文章基于海外勘探业务运营周期和关键勘探指标分析,构建勘探投入、价值回报和勘探风险3个战略维度指标,针对bp、埃克森美孚公司、道达尔公司、埃尼公司、雪佛龙公司、艾奎诺公司和壳牌公司七大国际油公司2010—2019年10年间的发展结果,评价出低风险低投入高回报型、高风险高投入低回报型、高风险低投入低回报型、低风险高投入低回报型和低风险低投入低回报型5种战略类型,探析不同油公司勘探战略目标实现背后的故事。Under the new situation,PetroChina’s overseas exploration business faces double challenges in the large-scale expansion of the stock exploration assets and acquisition of the new high-quality exploration assets,showing the unclear orientation in the future,which is an issue to be solved urgently.Based on the operation cycle of overseas exploration business and the key exploration indicators,three indexes of exploration investment,value return and exploration risk in strategic dimension are proposed.Then the development achievements of the seven major international oil companies,including bp,ExxonMobil,TotalEnergies,Eni,Chevron,Equinor and Shell,in 10 years from 2010 to 2019 are analyzed and five strategic types are classified,namely the low risk-low investment-high return type,high risk-high investment-low return type,high risk-low investment-low return type,low risk-high investment-low return type and low risk-low investment-low return type.Furthermore,the stories behind the realization of their exploration strategic objectives are analyzed for reference.

关 键 词：国际油公司 勘探战略 战略对标 勘探投入 价值回报 勘探风险 

分 类 号：TE12[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]