特朗普时期以来美国一个中国政策的变化及其危害性  

Changes in the U.S.One-China Policy from the Trump Era and Their Dangerous Implications

作　　者：邵育群[1] Shao Yuqun

机构地区：[1]上海国际问题研究院,上海200233

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2022年第6期34-47,共14页Taiwan Research Journal

摘　　要：从1979年中美两国关系正常化以来,历届美国政府都坚持一个中国政策。特朗普政府上台后,美国对华实行全面竞争战略,其一个中国政策在政策基础、政策内容和政策执行三个层面发生了明显变化,给中美关系稳定发展带来了严重挑战。拜登政府虽然强调防止竞争演变为冲突,其一个中国政策在执行上也做了部分回调,但由于美国对华战略仍呈全面竞争态势,且在发展美台非官方关系上没有节制,致其“双重威慑”政策进一步失衡。因此,虽然拜登政府强调中美应就台湾问题进行危机预防与管理的对话,但如果美国不对一个中国政策做重大调整,其危害性将继续放大并可能导致中美发生直接冲突。Since the normalization of relations between China and the U.S.in 1979,successive U.S.administrations have adhered to the one-China policy.Since the Trump administration took office,the U.S.has pursued a comprehensive competitive strategy with China,and its one-China policy has undergone significant changes in terms of basis,content,and implementation,all of which poses serious challenges to the stable development of China-U.S.relations.Although the Biden administration has emphasized preventing competition from turning into conflict and has partially dialed back from the Trump-era revisions of the one-China policy.Its approach to China remains fully competitive and has not exercised restraint in developing unofficial relations between the U.S.and Taiwan region,resulting in further imbalance in its“dual deterrence”policy.Thus,while the Biden administration has stressed that the U.S.and China should engage in dialogue to prevent and manage crisis regarding the Taiwan question,the risks in the U.S.-China relations could escalate to direct conflict if the U.S.does not make significant adjustments to its one-China policy.

关 键 词：美国 一个中国政策 “双重威慑” 中美关系 

分 类 号：D822.371.2[政治法律—政治学] D618[政治法律—外交学]