中国城市群“文—旅—科”产业融合发展水平攀升规律的定量模拟与验证  

QUANTITATIVE SIMULATION AND VERIFICATION OF THE RISING LAW OF "CULTURE-TOURISM-SCIENCE" INDUSTRY INTERGRATION DEVELOPMENT LEVEL IN CHINA’S URBAN AGGLOMERATION

作　　者：杨莎莎 魏旭 魏雪纯 魏然 YANG Sha-sha;WEI Xu;WEI Xue-chun;WEI Ran(Business School of Guilin Tourism College,Guilin Guangxi 541006,China;School of Ethnology and Sociology,Guangxi University for Nationalities,Nanning 530006,China;School of Political Science and Public Administration,Shandong University,Qingdao 266200,China;School of Economics,Guangxi University for Nationalities,Nanning 530006,China)

机构地区：[1]桂林旅游学院商学院,桂林541006 [2]广西民族大学民族学与社会学学院,南宁530006 [3]山东大学政治学与公共管理学院,青岛266200 [4]广西民族大学经济学院,南宁530006

出　　处：《人文地理》2022年第5期150-161,共12页Human Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD157)。

摘　　要：在城市群的形成发育过程中,伴随着城市群内部文化、旅游、科技产业资源优化再配置和协同集聚效应的共同作用,城市群“文化—旅游—科技”产业融合发展水平表现为随时间序列呈指数式增长的攀升态势。本文通过对城市群“文—旅—科”产业融合发展水平攀升规律的基本原理进行分析,建立相关数理模型得到几何表达式;继而构建城市群“文—旅—科”产业融合发展的评价指标体系,运用引入时间调整系数改进的耦合协调度模型,计算得到中国城市群及所辖城市的产业融合发展水平并进行时空演化分析;最后使用模拟验证的方法对中国城市群“文—旅—科”产业融合发展水平攀升规律进行拟合验证,探究中国城市群的产业融合发展路径。The integrated development of "culture-tourism-science and technology"(referred to as "culturetourism-science and technology") industry in urban agglomeration is accompanied by the formation and development process of urban agglomeration. In this paper, the basic principle of the rising law of "culture-tourism-science" industry integration development level in urban agglomeration is analyzed, and the mathematical model is constructed to obtain its geometric expression. Then, the evaluation index system of "culturetourism-science" industry integration development in urban agglomerations is constructed, and the integrated development level of "culture-tourism-science" industry in cities and urban agglomerations in China is calculated by using the coupling coordination degree model improved by introducing time adjustment coefficient,and the evaluation results are analyzed in time and space by Arcgis10.2. Finally, the method of simulation verification is used to fit and verify the rising rule of "culture-tourism-science" industry integration development level in China’s urban agglomerations.

关 键 词：城市群 “文化—旅游—科技”产业 产业融合发展 时空演化 定量模拟验证 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理] G124[经济管理—产业经济]