风险评估在中国大陆口岸输入性传染病防控中的应用及展望  

Application and prospect of risk assessment in the prevention and control of imported infectious diseases at border ports in Chinese Mainland

作　　者：韩辉 伍波 吴海磊 宋悦谦 Han Hui;Wu Bo;Wu Hailei;Song Yueqian(Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs,Beijing 100026,China;Nanjing Customs District,Nanjing,210001 Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海关科学技术研究中心,北京100026 [2]南京海关,江苏南京210001

出　　处：《疾病监测》2022年第11期1398-1401,共4页Disease Surveillance

基　　金：国家重点研发计划(No.2022YFC2602204);国家自然科学基金重点项目(No.71934002);科技创新2030重大项目(No.2021ZD0114104)。

摘　　要：随着全球一体化进程,国际间人员、贸易往来日趋频繁,传染病跨境传播风险显著增加。口岸是防控传染病疫情输入的第一道防线,当前,评估传染病输入风险已成为卫生检疫工作中的重要任务和关键环节,为境外重大新发突发传染病和大型国际活动口岸公共卫生风险防控提供了依据,并取得了显著效果。同时,统计模型和概率模型、大数据技术、人工智能、地理信息系统等方法和技术被逐步应用到传染病风险评估工作中。面对严峻复杂的传染病疫情形势,将新技术、多源数据与风险评估工作相结合,可在口岸传染病疫情防控工作中发挥重要作用。With the process of globalization,international exchanges of personnel and trade have become increasingly frequent,and the risk of cross-border transmission of infectious diseases has increased significantly.Border ports are the first line of defense to prevent and control the import of infectious diseases.At present,assessing the risk of infectious diseases importation has become an important task and key link in the health quarantine,which could provide a basis for the prevention and control of emerging infectious diseases abroad and public health risk at border ports during large-scale international activities,and has achieved significant results.At the same time,methods such as statistical and probabilistic models,big data technology,artificial intelligence,and geographic information system have been gradually applied to infectious disease risk assessment.In the face of severe the complex epidemic situation of infectious diseases,the combination of new technologies and multi-source data with risk assessment work could play an important role in the prevention and control of infectious diseases at border ports.

关 键 词：输入性传染病 风险评估 防控 卫生检疫 

分 类 号：R211[医药卫生—中医学] R51