基于协同学的区域产业高质量协同发展测度分析——以河北省物流系统与制造业为例  

Measurement Analysis on the High-Quality Collaborative Development of Regional Industries Based on Synergetics——Taking Logistics System and Manufacturing Industry in Hebei Province as an Example

作　　者：贺玉德 王莎 易哲婧 HE Yude;WANG Sha;YI Zhejing(School of Management,Hebei GEO University,Shijiazhuang 050031,China;Strategy and Management Base of Mineral Resources in Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050031,China;Accounting School of Hebei University of Economics and Business,Shijiazhuang 050061,China;School of Economics,Hebei GEO University,Shijiazhuang 050031,China)

机构地区：[1]河北地质大学管理学院,河北石家庄050031 [2]河北省矿产资源战略与管理研究基地,河北石家庄050031 [3]河北经贸大学会计学院,河北石家庄050061 [4]河北地质大学经济学院,河北石家庄050031

出　　处：《工业技术创新》2022年第6期97-105,共9页Industrial Technology Innovation

基　　金：河北省三三三人才工程资助项目(C20221157);河北高等学校科学研究项目(SQ2022083);河北高校基本科研业务费资助项目(QN202211)。

摘　　要：在制造业高质量发展的新形势下,河北省物流系统与制造业呈现出新变化,二者协同发展呈现出新特征。以河北省2010—2019年统计数据为研究依据,以协同学理论为基本研究方法,建立物流系统与制造业高质量协同发展的评价指标体系,开展测度分析,客观评价物流系统与制造业之间的协同程度。研究发现,河北省物流系统与制造业间的协同发展具备阶段性特征:第一阶段(2010—2014年)末期协同度较低,制造业的有序度高于物流系统的有序度;第二阶段(2014—2017年)末期协同度达到峰值,整体协同度的上扬依赖于物流系统有序度的拉升;第三阶段(2017—2019年)末期协同度又略有下降。对现今的启示:要对物流系统与制造业之间深度融合的协同规律作出一定的预判,当一方有序度上升时,不要忽视对另一方的提升;制造业在结构性调整后会有一个较长的“蛰伏期”,有效地缩短“蛰伏期”尤为必要;京津居于河北省辖内,产业集群不能连成片或在政策上形成竞争制度,对河北省制造业高质量发展是一个重大挑战。Under the new situation of high-quality development of the manufacturing industry,the logistics system and the manufacturing industry in Hebei Province have shown new changes.And their collaborative development has shown new features.Taking the statistical data of Hebei Province from 2010 to 2019 as the study basis and the synergetic theory as the basic research method,the evaluation index system of high-quality collaborative development between the logistics system and the manufacturing industry was established,and the measurement analysis was carried out to objectively evaluate the synergy degree between the logistics system and the manufacturing industry.It is found that the collaborative development between the logistics system and the manufacturing industry in Hebei Province has the characteristics of stages:at the end of the first stage(2010—2014),the synergy degree is low,and the order degree of the manufacturing industry is higher than that of the logistics system;at the end of the second stage(2014—2017),the synergy degree reached its peak,and the rise of overall synergy depends on the order degree of the logistics system;at the end of the third stage(2017—2019),the synergy degree decreased slightly.Enlightenments for today:to make a certain prediction on the coordination law of deep integration between the logistics system and manufacturing industry,when the order of one rises,do not neglect the promotion of the other;after the structural adjustment of the manufacturing industry,there will be a long“dormant period”,so it is particularly necessary to effectively shorten such a“dormant period”;Beijing and Tianjin are within the jurisdiction of Hebei Province,so the industrial clusters cannot be connected into pieces or form a competition system in policies,which is a major challenge to the highquality development of manufacturing industry in Hebei Province.

关 键 词：物流系统 制造业 协同度 有序度 高质量发展 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济]