全球价值链分工对林产品出口隐含碳的影响  

The Impact of Global Value Chain Division on Carbon Embodied in Forest Product Exports

作　　者：郭玲 林凝芬 王文烂[1] 郑志宇 GUO Ling;LIN Ningfen;WANG Wenlan;ZHENG Zhiyu(School of Economics and Management,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002;Concord University College,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350117)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学经济管理学院,福州350002 [2]福建师范大学协和学院,福州350117

出　　处：《林业经济》2022年第9期76-96,共21页Forestry Economics

基　　金：福建省教育厅中青年教师教育科研项目(科技类)“中国木质林产品全球价值链参与度对其贸易隐含碳的影响”(编号:JAT200956);福建师范大学协和学院院级科研项目(科技类)“中国木质林产品参与全球价值链对其污染贸易条件的影响”(编号:KY20200201);福建师范大学协和学院数字经济创新团队建设计划项目(编号:2021-TD-001)。

摘　　要：各国林业产业在融入全球价值链的同时,也面临日益严重的资源环境约束。考察全球价值链分工对林产品出口隐含碳的影响,将为一国林业产业明确价值链融入方向、贸易隐含碳减排提供参考。文章归纳了2000-2020年44个国家林产品全球价值链分工的特征,实证检验了2000-2018年林产品全球价值链分工位置对出口隐含碳的影响,进一步分析了全球价值链参与模式的不同和国家异质性如何使林产品全球价值链分工对出口隐含碳产生差异化影响。结果表明:2020年中国、美国、日本、印度和印度尼西亚的林产品全球价值链前向参与度偏低,主要是由于纯国内活动占比特别高;2018年只有14个国家林产品部门的全球价值链位置指数大于1;林产品出口隐含碳最多的4个国家在2000-2018年间下降趋势最为明显,总体上各国差距趋于收敛。全球价值链位置指数与林产品出口隐含碳对数存在显著的负相关关系,系数为-2.0690,说明林产品全球价值链位置的提升会抑制出口隐含碳;在各国林产品全球价值链位置指数普遍不高的情况下,全球价值链参与度越深,出口隐含碳反而越多,但是相比前向参与度而言,后向参与度的增排贡献较小;发展中国家林产品全球价值链位置提升的碳减排潜力相对弱于发达国家,在全球价值链前向参与度升级中,比发达国家带来略多的出口隐含碳,并在深化全球价值链后向参与度时明显会促进更多出口隐含碳。因此,提高全球价值链位置将是加快国家林产品出口碳减排的有效途径。While the forest industries of various countries are integrated into the global value chain(GVC),they are also facing more and more serious resource and environmental constraints.Investigating the impact of the global value chain division on the carbon embodied in forest product exports will provide a reference for a country’s forest industry to clarify the direction of value chain integration and reduce trade carbon embodied.This paper summarized the factual characteristics of the division in the global value chain of forest products in44 countries from 2000 to 2020,and empirically examined the impact of GVC division on carbon embodied in forest product exports between 2000 and 2018,and further analyzed how differences in GVC participation patterns and country heterogeneity made forest products GVC participation differentially impact carbon embodied in exports.The results showed that there was lower forward GVC participation in forest products in China,US,Japan,India and Indonesia in 2020,mainly due to the high proportion of purely domestic activities,and only the GVC position index of 14 national forest product sectors in 2018 was greater than 1.From 2000 to 2018,the four countries with the largest carbon embodied in forest product exports showed the most obvious downward trend.In general,the gap between countries was tending to converge.There was a significant negative correlation between the GVC position index and the logarithm of carbon embodied in forest product exports,with a coefficient of-2.0690,indicating that the improvement of the position of forest products in the global value chain would inhibit the growth carbon embodied in exports.In the case that the position of forest products in the global value chain of various countries was generally not high,the deeper the participation in the global value chain,the more carbon embodied in exports.However,compared to the forward participation,the contribution of the backward participation was smaller.The carbon emission reduction potential of developing co

关 键 词：全球价值链 位置指数 参与度 林产品出口 出口隐含碳 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F313.7[经济管理—产业经济] F746.12F316.2