全球稀有矿产品贸易格局演化及我国供应安全研究  

Evolution of Global Rare Minerals Trade Pattern and China’s Supply Security Research

作　　者：朱文兴[1,2] 胡恒祺 徐水太[3,4] ZHU Wenxing;HU Hengqi;XU Shuitai(Commercial College,Jiangxi University of Science and Technology,Nanchang 330013,Jiangxi,China;Nonferrous Metals Industry Development Research Institute,Jiangxi University of Science and Technology,Ganzhou 341000,Jiangxi,China;Economic Management College,Jiangxi University of Science and Technology,Ganzhou 341000,Jiangxi,China;Research Center of Mining Development,Jiangxi University of Science and Technology,Ganzhou 341000,Jiangxi,China)

机构地区：[1]江西理工大学商学院,江西南昌330013 [2]江西理工大学有色金属产业发展研究院,江西赣州341000 [3]江西理工大学经济管理学院,江西赣州341000 [4]江西理工大学矿业发展研究中心,江西赣州341000

出　　处：《黄金科学技术》2022年第6期877-890,共14页Gold Science and Technology

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“产品空间视角下中国稀有矿产资源产业升级路径及政策选择研究”(编号:20XGL016);江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目“我国稀有矿产资源产业升级演进路径研究”(编号:JJ20113);江西理工大学研究生科研创新项目“基于PMC指数模型的中国稀土安全政策量化评价”(编号:XY2022-S046)联合资助。

摘　　要：作为战略性新兴产业的关键原材料,稀有矿产资源在现代工业发展中的作用日益凸显。以2002-2020年全球稀有矿产品贸易数据为基础,构建全球稀有矿产品贸易网络,从全球、区域以及国家(地区)3个层面,研究全球稀有矿产品贸易网络格局演化及中国供应安全。研究结果表明:(1)全球稀有矿产品贸易网络逐渐趋于复杂化,规模日益扩大,常年保持小世界特性;(2)美国、德国、法国和英国4个国家常年位于稀有矿产品贸易网络的核心位置,对世界稀有矿产品贸易有着强大的把控能力,在贸易网络中起着重要的桥梁作用;(3)我国在全球稀有矿产品贸易网络中的地位和控制能力逐年上升,贸易伙伴不断增加,在稀有矿产品贸易中的影响力越来越大;(4)全球稀有矿产品贸易网络主要存在4个贸易社团,各社团呈现不断分化重组的演化特征;(5)我国稀有矿产品供应安全有所提高,但仍处于不安全的状态,防止目标性中断对于保障我国稀有矿产品供应安全具有重要意义。As the key raw materials of strategic emerging industries,rare mineral resources play an increasingly prominent role in the development of modern industry. In order to grasp the characteristics and pattern of the global rare mineral trade network,and understand the supply security of rare mineral products in China,this paper adopted the complex network to construct a global rare mineral trade network based on the UN Comtrade and the global rare mineral trade data from 2002 to 2020. This paper studied the overall trade characteristics,node centrality and group evolution of the trade network,and simulated the targeted interruption of the supply security of rare mineral products in China. The results show that:(1)The global rare mineral products trade network is gradually becoming more complex,the scale is expanding,the trade connectivity is gradually strengthened,and the characteristics of the small world are maintained all year round.(2)The United States,Germany,France,and the United Kingdom are located in the core position of the rare mineral trade network all year round,and have a strong control over the world’s rare mineral trade,and play an important bridge role in the trade network.(3)China’s position and control ability in the global rare mineral products trade network have increased year by year,and its trading partners have been increasing,and its influence in the trade of rare mineral products has become increasing.(4)There are mainly 4 trading associations in the global rare mineral products trade network,and each community shows the evolutionary characteristics of continuous differentiation and reorganization.(5)The security of the supply of rare mineral products in China has been improved,but it is still in an unsafe state,and preventing targeted interruptions is of great significance to ensure the security of the supply of rare mineral products in China. According to this,the study believes that the following measures can provide a basis for optimizing the trade pattern of rare mineral products in

关 键 词：稀有矿产品 复杂网络理论 贸易格局 演化特征 社团划分 供应安全 

分 类 号：F746.18[经济管理—国际贸易]