基于微观模拟的慢性肾脏病疾病负担演化模型构建初探  

Preliminary study on the evolution model of chronic kidney disease burden based on micro-simulation

作　　者：李阳 段光锋 梅长林 熊林平 LI Yang;DUAN Guangfeng;MEI Changlin;XIONG Linping(Department of Health Service Management,Faculty of Health Service,Naval Medical University,Shanghai 200433,China;Affiliated Changzheng Hospital of Naval Medical University/Kidney Disease Research Institute of PLA,Shanghai 200003,China)

机构地区：[1]海军军医大学卫勤系军队卫生事业管理学教研室,上海200433 [2]海军军医大学附属长征医院/解放军肾脏病研究所,上海200003

出　　处：《卫生软科学》2023年第1期56-59,65,共5页Soft Science of Health

基　　金：上海市软科学研究重点项目-基于微观模拟的上海市慢性肾脏病疾病负担推演及防治策略经济学评价(22692113000);上海市公共卫生体系建设三年行动计划(GWIV-18)。

摘　　要：文章以慢性肾脏病发生发展演化规律为基础,结合微观模拟技术探讨了在防治策略干预下,慢性肾脏病疾负担演化微观模拟模型构建与分析过程,为慢性肾脏病防治策略干预效果评价提供理论支持。Based on the evolution rule of the occurrence and development of chronic kidney disease and combined with the micro-simulation technology, this paper discusses the construction and analysis process of the micro-simulation model of the evolution of the burden of chronic kidney disease under the intervention of prevention and treatment strategies, so as to provide theoretical support for the evaluation of the intervention effect of prevention and treatment strategies of chronic kidney disease.

关 键 词：慢性肾脏病 疾病负担 微观模拟模型 

分 类 号：R197.1[医药卫生—卫生事业管理] R4[医药卫生—公共卫生与预防医学]