非洲猪瘟与猪价低迷双重影响下河北省生猪产业发展形势与对策研究  

Study on the development situation and countermeasures of pig industry in Hebei Province under the dual impact of African swine fever and low pig prices

作　　者：丛林[1] 韩璐[1] 周勋章 路剑[1] 王玉坤 彭博毅 CONG Lin;HAN Lu;ZHOU Xunzhang;LU Jian;WANG Yukun;PENG Boyi(Agricultural University of Hebei,Baoding 071001,China)

机构地区：[1]河北农业大学,河北保定071001

出　　处：《黑龙江畜牧兽医》2022年第24期9-13,23,134,共7页Heilongjiang Animal Science And veterinary Medicine

基　　金：农业农村部政策与改革司委托课题项目“中部地区促进家庭农场形成发展研究”(041821301122441005);河北省现代农业产业体系生猪产业经济与发展研究岗位项目(HBCT2018110301);河北省教育厅2015年人文社会科学研究重大课题项目“河北省现代畜牧业发展研究”(ZD201516);2021年度河北省高等学校科学研究计划项目“京津冀生猪主产区利益补偿机制研究”“乡村振兴战略背景下农业行政管理学构建研究”(SD2021101,SQ2021016)。

摘　　要：在非洲猪瘟疫情与猪价低迷的双重影响下,河北省生猪产业面临巨大挑战,在此背景下,笔者分析了河北省非洲猪瘟疫情现状和主要生猪产品市场价格现状,以及当前河北省猪价低迷的主要成因(生猪产能恢复超过预期、压栏导致生猪活重偏高、市场消费需求相对疲软、恐慌出栏加剧价格下跌、进口猪肉拉低市场价格),并从养殖成本对产品价格的影响、动物疫病对养殖生产的影响、产能恢复后的不确定性影响、“分区防控”下的多重影响四方面剖析了制约河北省生猪产业发展的因素,最后提出了促进河北省生猪产业良性发展的对策建议:加强预警,稳定市场价格;继续强化动物疫病防控;积极推动产业转型升级;落实“分区防控”重点工作;规划布局产业集群建设。Under the dual influence of African swine fever epidemic and low pig prices,the pig industry in Hebei Province is facing great challenges.Under this background,the author analyzed the current situation of African swine fever outbreak in Hebei Province and pig products market price as well as the causes of the current prices downturn in Hebei Province(the recovery of pig production capacity exceeded expectations,the high live weight of pigs caused by the pressure of delayed slaughter,the relatively weak market consumer demand,the panic out of pens exacerbated the price decline,and imported pork pulled down the market price).The factors affecting the development of the pig industry in Hebei Province were analyzed from four aspects:the impact of breeding cost on product price,the impact of animal disease on breeding production,the impact of uncertainty after the recovery of production capacity,and the multiple impacts under“zoning prevention and control”.At last,the paper put forward the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the healthy development of Hebei pig industry:strengthen the early warning and stabilize the market price;continue to strengthen the prevention and control of animal epidemics;actively promote industrial transformation and upgrading;implement the key work of“regional prevention and control”;plan and layout the construction of industrial clusters.

关 键 词：非洲猪瘟疫情 猪价 生猪产业 分区防控 河北省 

分 类 号：F326.3[经济管理—产业经济]