乡村振兴背景下农业生产性服务业发展态势及影响因素研究——以新疆为例  

Analysis of the development trend and influencing factors of agricultural productive services industry under the background of rural revitalization strategy:Taking Xinjiang as an example

作　　者：马菲 余国新[1] Ma Fei;Yu Guoxin(College of Economics and Management,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi,830052,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学经济管理学院,乌鲁木齐市830052

出　　处：《中国农机化学报》2023年第1期216-225,共10页Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72163032)。

摘　　要：农业生产性服务业可改造传统农业,对农业生产性服务业发展态势研究可为提高新疆地区农业生产提供理论支持。基于2005—2020年新疆地级数据,运用核密度估计和锡尔指数对农业生产性服务业区域差异进行测度,控制异方差、同期相关的PCSE估计农业生产性服务业发展的影响因素。结果发现:新疆农业生产性服务业核函数曲线从“多峰”向“双峰”转变,总体发展水平呈上升态。区域内差异是产生总体差异的主要原因。农业生产性服务业发展主要受经济发展因素、农作物播种面积、农业从业人员、交通运输能力、城镇化因素、政府支持因素和科技投入因素影响。因此新疆各区域要因地制宜,充分利用其资源优势规避不利因素,发展农业生产性服务业。Agricultural productive services can transform traditional agriculture,the research on the development situation of agricultural productive services can provide theoretical support for improving agricultural production in Xinjiang.Based on Xinjiang prefecture-level data from 2005 to 2020,kernel density estimation and Theil index were used to measure regional differences in agricultural productive services,heteroscedasticity and corresponding PCSE were controlled to estimate the influencing factors affecting the development of agricultural productive services.The results show that the kernel density curve of Xinjiang’s agricultural productive services industry has changed from“multi-peak”to“double-peak”,and the overall development level is on the rise.Regional differences are the main reason for overall differences.The development of agricultural productive services is mainly affected by economic development factors,sown area of crops,the factors of agriculture employees,transportation capacity,urbanization rate,government support factors,scientific and technological input factors.Therefore,all regions in Xinjiang should develop agricultural productive service industries according to local condition,make full use of their resource advantages to avoid unfavorable factor.

关 键 词：新疆地区 农业生产性服务业 锡尔指数 核密度估计 区域差异 

分 类 号：F326.6[经济管理—产业经济]