人民币汇率对中国陶瓷出口的影响——基于“一带一路”沿线国家的面板数据  

The Impact of RMB Exchange Rates on China’s Ceramic Exports——The Panel Data in Countries along the“Belt and Road”

作　　者：周游 肖枫 ZHOU You;XIAO Feng(School of Economics and Management,Hanshan Normal University Chaozhou,Guangdong 515633)

机构地区：[1]韩山师范学院经济与管理学院,广东潮州515633

出　　处：《中国商论》2023年第2期7-11,共5页China Journal of Commerce

基　　金：2018年度广东省普通高校青年创新人才类项目“人民币汇率变动对陶瓷出口贸易的影响——基于‘一带一路’沿线国家和地区面板数据的研究”(2018KQNCX155)。

摘　　要：“一带一路”倡议的实施为我国陶瓷出口提供了新发展机遇,本文基于2008—2021年中国与沿线50个国家的相关数据,结合沿线国家的文化特点,考察人民币汇率及汇率波动对中国陶瓷出口的影响。研究发现,从整体上看,“一带一路”倡议有效促进了中国的陶瓷出口;汇率水平的变动及汇率波动均会给陶瓷出口带来负面影响,但汇率波动的影响相对较小;在以文化因素为基准的分区域考察中发现,沿线国家不同的文化背景对陶瓷出口有不同的促进作用。最后,基于实证分析结果,本文分别从政府及企业层面探讨了在“一带一路”背景下中国陶瓷出口的对策建议。The implementation of the“Belt and Road”initiative provides new development opportunities for China’s ceramic exports.This paper examines the impact of RMB exchange rates and the fl uctuation of exchange rates on China’s ceramic exports based on relevant data between China and 50 countries along the“Belt and Road”from 2008 to 2021,considering the cultural characteristics of the countries along the“Belt and Road”.It is found that overall the“Belt and Road”initiative eff ectively promotes China’s ceramic exports;the fl uctuation of exchange rates harms ceramic exports,but the impact is small;in terms of diff erent cultures in diff erent regions,it is found that diff erent cultural backgrounds of the countries along the“Belt and Road”have diff erent positive eff ects on ceramic exports.Finally,based on the results of the empirical analysis,countermeasures and suggestions for China’s ceramic exports with the“Belt and Road”initiative are provided at the government and enterprise levels respectively.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 陶瓷出口 汇率 汇率波动 文化 

分 类 号：F822[经济管理—财政学]