基于旅客感知的空铁联运路径选择研究  

Study on Route Choice of Air-rail Integrated Service Based on Passenger Perception

作　　者：刘翌洋 聂磊[1] 佟璐[1] 张华弟 LIU Yiyang;NIE Lei;TONG Lu;ZHANG Huadi(School of Traffc and Transportation,Bejing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;Institute of Computing Technology,China Academy of Railway Sciences Corporation Limited,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044 [2]中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司电子计算技术研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2022年第12期36-42,90,共8页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71971024);国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(72001021);中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划课题(N2020X023)。

摘　　要：掌握空铁联运旅客出行路径时空信息,对联运产品供给具有指导意义。基于铁路和民航时刻表构建空铁联运时空服务网络,研究时空层面的空铁联运旅客出行情况,充分考虑时空路径多维度特性,即快速性、经济性、方便性对旅客选择的影响,并构建多维度因素重要度矩阵表达旅客需求类型。在此基础上,引入最小可觉差,建立时空路径选择模型,路径差别通过引起旅客感知而影响决策,从而得到旅客出行路径选择概率。案例以京津冀地区空铁联运网络为研究对象,计算分析该地区空铁联运旅客出行路径选择结果。通过将求解结果反馈到空铁联运网络,能够帮助铁路和民航部门掌握空铁联运客流需求时空分布状态,为空铁换乘枢纽有目标、有方向地按照需求开展空铁联运提供有效依据。Grasping the spatio-temporal information of passengers’ travel routes in air-rail integrated service is of guiding significance to the supply of intermodal transport products. Depending on air and rail timetables, this paper constructed the space-time service network of air-rail integrated service to study passenger travel at the spatio-temporal level. The paper fully considered the multi-dimensional characteristics of spatio-temporal routes, namely the impact of rapidness, economy, and convenience on passenger choice, and constructed the importance matrix of multi-dimensional factors to express passenger demand types. On this basis, it also introduced the just noticeable difference to establish the spatio-temporal route choice model. The route difference infuenced the decision by inducing passenger perception, and the probability of passenger travel route choice was thereby obtained. The air-rail integrated service network of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was taken as the case background, and the paper calculated and analyzed the results of passenger travel route choice in air-rail integrated service therein. By feeding the solution results back to the air-rail integrated service network, it can help railway and civil aviation departments to master the space-time distribution of passenger demand of air-rail integrated service and provide an effective basis for air-rail transfer hubs to carry out air-rail integrated service according to the passenger demand.

关 键 词：综合运输 时空路径选择模型 最小可觉差 空铁联运 旅客感知 

分 类 号：U15[交通运输工程]