智能化对制造业出口贸易高质量发展的影响研究  

Research on the Influence of Intelligence on the High Quality Development of Manufacturing Export Trade

作　　者：朱智洺[1] 李红艳[1] 姚婷[1] Zhu Zhiming;Li Hongyan;Yao Ting(Business School,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,南京211100

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2023年第2期125-133,共9页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“中国对‘一带一路’沿线国家直接投资的技术利益共享与保护机制研究”(项目编号:20BJL063);江苏省社会科学应用研究精品工程项目“碳达峰背景下江苏省能源需求与‘双碳’协调保障研究”(项目编号:21SYB-077)。

摘　　要：随着新一轮科技革命不断推进,智能技术成为促进制造业出口贸易高质量发展的新动能。本文选取我国2005~2020年省级面板数据,构建面板固定效应模型检验智能化对我国各地区制造业出口贸易质量的影响,并进行异质性分析和中介效应检验。研究结果表明:(1)智能化对我国制造业出口贸易质量存在倒U型影响;(2)从智能化维度看,智能基础设施、智能投入和市场效益对制造业出口贸易质量的促进作用较大,智能技术应用程度有待加深;从地区维度来看,中部智能化对制造业出口贸易质量的影响最高,西部次之,东部最低;(3)智能化通过改善劳动力就业结构和推动技术创新对制造业出口贸易质量产生中介效应。As a new round of scientific and technological revolution continues to advance, smart technology has become a new driving force for the high-quality development of manufacturing export trade.This paper selects the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2020,takes the labor employment structure as the intermediary variable, constructs the panel fixed effect model and the intermediary effect model to test the influence of intelligence on the quality of manufacturing export trade in various regions of China.Heterogeneity analysis and mediating effect test were conducted.The results show that:(1)intelligence has an“inverted U”impact on Chinese manufacturing export trade quality.(2)From the intelligence dimension, intelligent infrastructure, input and market efficiency have a greater role in promoting the quality of manufacturing export trade.From the regional perspective, the impact coefficient of intelligence on the quality of manufacturing export trade is highest in central, followed by west and lowest in east.(3)Intelligence has a mediating effect on the quality of manufacturing export trade through improving labor force employment structure and promoting technological innovation.

关 键 词：智能化 制造业 出口贸易质量 倒U型 中介效应 异质性分析 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济] F752