基于博弈论的氢燃料电池汽车产业培育分析  

Analysis on the Cultivation of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicle Industry Based on Game Theory

作　　者：刘全 张海涛 赵振东 孙慧玉 刘国庆 薛雨淳 LIU Quan;ZHANG Haitao;ZHAO Zhendong;SUN Huiyu;LIU Guoqing;XUE Yuchun(Easyland Automotive Company Limited,Wuxi 214172,China;School of Automobile and Rail Transit,Nanjing Institute of Engineering,Nanjing 211167,China)

机构地区：[1]江苏毅合捷汽车科技股份有限公司,江苏无锡214172 [2]南京工程学院汽车与轨道交通学院,江苏南京211167

出　　处：《汽车实用技术》2023年第2期7-14,共8页Automobile Applied Technology

基　　金：江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目(2021SJZDA053)。

摘　　要：氢燃料电池汽车是汽车未来发展结构更迭的趋势之一,目前在氢燃料电池汽车业的产业培育期,产业之间的利益协调问题并未得到有效分析,未来成熟期的产业发展趋势也尚不明朗。文章在燃料电池汽车产业培育期基于纳什均衡原理,分析各利益主体之间的利益协调问题;在产业成熟期时,运用演化博弈论的理论讨论产业各企业与政府之间的产业强化机理与空间扩散机理;最后,通过对产业培育期与产业成熟期的两种模型的讨论分析,提出了利于政府、科研院所与企业各方之间需要相互协调共同促进发展的合理化建议。Hydrogen fuel cell vehicle is one of the trends of the future development structure of automobiles. At present, in the cultivation period of hydrogen fuel cell automobile industry, the interest coordination between industries has not been effectively analyzed, and the industrial development trend in the future maturity period is not clear. Based on Nash equilibrium theory, this paper analyzes the interest coordination among various stakeholders in the industry cultivation period. In the mature stage of industry, the mechanism of industrial strengthening and spatial diffusion between enterprises and government is discussed by using evolutionary game theory.Finally, through the discussion and analysis of the two models of industry cultivation and industry maturity, the paper puts forward reasonable suggestions that are conducive to the coordination between the government, research institutes and enterprises to promote development.

关 键 词：氢燃料电池汽车 经济博弈论 政策建议 三方博弈 演化博弈 

分 类 号：F224.32[经济管理—国民经济] F426