机构地区:[1]新疆大学新疆创新管理研究中心,新疆乌鲁木齐830046 [2]新疆大学经济与管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830046 [3]新疆大学地理学博士后流动站,新疆乌鲁木齐830046
出 处:《中国人口·资源与环境》2022年第11期96-108,共13页China Population,Resources and Environment
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目“新疆资源型产业污染集聚、损益偏离与包容性绿色增长”(批准号:71963030);新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目“碳中和背景下新疆能源发展路径研究”(批准号:21BJY050),“新疆现代产业体系建设研究”(批准号:21BJL038)。
摘 要:2030年高质量碳达峰是如期实现2060年碳中和的根本基础。该研究以中国280个地级市为研究对象,样本截取时间为2006—2019年。以2030年前实现碳达峰为刚性约束,提出“共生-共治-共享”的分析逻辑,聚焦碳排放与大气污染共生排放特征,在碳达峰年度目标量化分解、碳排放与大气污染双重损益偏离识别的基础上,考察了碳达峰目标对碳排放损益偏离、大气污染损益偏离的减污降碳协同增效的共治效应及共享路径。研究发现:①碳达峰目标发挥了显著的减污降碳协同增效作用,能够促进城市发展由损益偏离-损益均衡-精益降损的方向优化,发挥推动城市“劣者趋良、良者趋优、优者更优”的作用。②碳达峰减污降碳协同增效作用呈明显的异质性选择效应,在西部城市、资源型城市、环保重点城市、先发城市中能够发挥更高作用与更强影响。③碳达峰目标发挥减污降碳协同增效的共享路径在于双视角下“调内”“匹外”式源头治理-过程控制-末端阻断的全流程发力与外部环境政策不确定性的动态匹配。需在“双碳”目标持续推进中紧抓“降碳”,优化设计多措并举、全程发力的多重共享路径,增强碳达峰减污降碳增效的多赢共治效果。具体包括:①强化源头治理,在源头上控制化石能源消费总量,调整产业结构,节能降耗。②严控过程管理,破解环境规制级差引致的污染转移现象及损益偏离后果,推动绿色交通体系建设,多轮驱动。③突出末端阻断,采取全过程治理、监控、减排措施,提升绿色创新水平,减碳增汇。④动态调整实现内外匹配,环境政策要因时施策、因境而异、因地制宜,做到因事适时调整、因效精准调控。China’s goal of achieving peak carbon emissions by 2030 is the fundamental foundation for its scheduled achievement of carbon neutrality by 2060.Taking 280 prefectural-level cities in China from 2006 to 2019 as the research object and the achievement of the carbon peak goal by 2030 as the rigid constraint,this study proposed the logic of‘symbiosis−co-governance−sharing’and focused on the characteristics of symbiosis on carbon emissions and air pollution.On the basis of the quantitative decomposition of the annual goal of reaching peak carbon emissions and the identification of the profit and loss deviation on both carbon emissions and air pollution,this study examined the co-governance synergistic effects of carbon and air pollution and the sharing paths.The results showed that:①The goal of reaching peak carbon emissions played a significant synergistic role in reducing pollution and carbon emissions,which could promote the development of cities from deviation to balance and optimization and promote the urban function of making‘bad to good,good to better,and better to best,②The synergistic effects of the carbon peak goal on reducing pollution and carbon emissions showed a significant heterogeneous selection effect.In China’s western cities,resource-based cities,environmental protection key cities,and first-mover cities,these effects played a more important role and had a stronger influence.③The sharing paths of the synergistic effects lay in the dual perspectives of‘internal’and‘external’source management−process control−end-of-pipe blocking and the dynamic matching of external environmental policy uncertainty.In the continuous promotion of the‘dual carbon’goals,close attention should be paid to carbon reduction and the optimization of the design of multiple sharing paths to enhance the synergistic effects of carbon and pollution reduction.In specific,we should:①strengthen source management,control total fossil energy consumption at the source,adjust industrial structure,and
分 类 号:X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F127[经济管理—世界经济]
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