中国物流业与经济高质量协调发展时空演化研究  

Research on the Space-time Evolution of the Coordinated Development of China’s Logistics Industry and High-quality Economy

作　　者：张清华[1] 于振山 郭兰英 ZHANG Qing-hua;YU Zhen-shan;GUO Lan-ying(School of Management Science and Engineering,Shanxi University of Finance and Economics,Taiyuan 030006,China;School of Machinery and Automation,Weifang University,Weifang,Shandong 261061;Beijing Energy Group Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100020,China)

机构地区：[1]山西财经大学管理科学与工程学院,山西太原030006 [2]潍坊学院机械与自动化学院,山东潍坊261061 [3]北京能源集团有限责任公司,北京100020

出　　处：《经济问题》2023年第2期60-68,共9页On Economic Problems

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目(18CTJ003);山西省科技厅科技战略研究专项(202104031402074)。

摘　　要：运用耦合协调度模型、空间自相关及核密度估计方法对中国物流业与经济高质量发展两系统耦合协调度的时空演化特征进行研究。结果表明:研究期间,两系统耦合协调水平从轻微失调上升到勉强协调阶段,但总体仍处于较低等级的协调阶段;耦合协调水平东西部差异明显,呈现出东—中—西部水平依次降低的空间分布格局;核密度曲线不断向右移动,表明两系统耦合协调水平不断提高,但波宽增加,波峰降低,各地区之间的差异有逐渐增大的趋势,动态演进过程出现了明显的梯度差异;各地区耦合协调度存在空间正相关关系,有显著的空间集聚特征,且集聚格局基本保持不变,主要集中在“H-H”集聚区和“L-L”集聚区,存在显著的空间溢出效应。The spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the coupled coordination degree of the two systems of China’s logistics industry and high-quality economic development are studied using the coupled coordination degree model, spatial autocorrelation and kernel density estimation methods.The results show that during the study period, the level of coupling coordination between the two systems has risen from a slight imbalance to a barely coordinated stage, but the overall level is still at a lower coordination stage;The level of coupling and coordination is obviously different between the east and the west, showing a spatial distribution pattern of decreasing level from east to middle to west;The nuclear density curve keeps moving to the right, indicating that the level of coupling and coordination between the two systems keeps improving, but the wave width increases, the wave crest decreases, the difference between provinces has a gradually increasing trend, and the dynamic evolution process has obvious gradient differences;The coupling coordination degree has a positive spatial autocorrelation relationship, and has significant spatial agglomeration characteristics, and the agglomeration pattern basically remains unchanged,mainly concentrated in the“H-H”agglomeration area and the“L-L”agglomeration area, with significant spatial spillover effects.

关 键 词：物流业 经济高质量发展 耦合协调 时空分异 动态演进 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]