Demographic and social anxieties:the second demographic transition in Asia  

作　　者：Stuart Gietel-Basten 

机构地区：[1]Department of Humanities and Social Science,Khalifa University of Science and Technology,Abu Dhabi,United Arab Emirates [2]Center for Aging Science,The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology,Hong Kong SAR,People’s Republic of China

出　　处：《China Population and Development Studies》2022年第3期338-349,共12页当代中国人口与发展（英文）

摘　　要：Asia is now,predominantly,a continent of‘low’fertility-one of the features of the Second Demographic Transition.Across the continent,this feature of our population has sprouted concern and anxiety,primarily expressed in macroeconomic terms.Low fertility is directly linked to the twin challenges of population aging and stagnation/decline.We know,however,that maximizing human capital and institutional reform is a much more effective way of responding to these two‘grand challenges’in the short-and medium-term.Why,then,is there such a panic about the lack of babies?In this commentary,I argue that much of the concern is grounded in a‘fear’of some of the features of the Second Demographic Transition(SDT)-or,at least,a caricatured version of it-taking root in Asian societies.But how concerned should they be?The papers in this special issue clearly demonstrate that the pathway towards‘full SDT’has developed in a very uneven way,perhaps so much so that some may argue the SDT is not a viable tool for understanding family change in(much of)Asia.However,this caricature of what the SDT‘is’can be unhelpful.There is no doubt that ideals and attitudes are changing(even if many others are not).Therefore,if we rather consider the SDT as a“general narrative that leaves room for many sub-narratives”,the evidence from Asia clearly demonstrates that there are many sub-narratives operating within a general transition towards some of the key societal and familial features of the SDT.

关 键 词：ASIA FAMILY FERTILITY Second Demographic Transition POSTMODERN 

分 类 号：C92[社会学—人口学]