中国与RCEP其他成员国农产品产业内贸易影响因素研究——基于灰色关联分析法  

Research on the Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Agricultural Products between China and Other RCEP Member Countries:Based on Grey Relation Analysis

作　　者：戴庆玲 侯静怡 高东燕 Dai Qingling;Hou Jingyi;Gao Dongyan(School of Trade and Economic Management,Huzhou Vocational&Technical College,Huzhou 313000,China)

机构地区：[1]湖州职业技术学院商贸与经济管理学院,浙江湖州313000

出　　处：《无锡商业职业技术学院学报》2022年第6期43-54,共12页Journal of Wuxi Vocational Institute of Commerce

基　　金：浙江省教育厅科研项目“基于产业集群视角的浙江高端装备制造业发展研究”(Y201942426)。

摘　　要：近年来,中国与RCEP其他成员国的农产品贸易往来日益频繁,而中国在其中处于逆差状态且这一逆差有扩大趋势。测算1992—2020年中国与RCEP其他成员国农产品贸易的GL指数、BI指数和MIIT指数,并运用灰色关联分析法对中国与RCEP其他成员国农产品产业内贸易影响因素进行研究。研究表明:中国与RCEP其他成员国的农产品贸易额占中国农产品贸易总额的比重较大,贸易额占比最大的农产品类别是食品和活动物类;中国与RCEP其他成员国农产品产业内贸易水平较低,且产业内贸易增量变化主要由垂直型产业内贸易推动;人均收入水平差异、货物贸易结合度、市场开放度差异、贸易不平衡度、农产品贸易竞争力和市场规模差异对中国与RCEP其他成员国农产品产业内贸易水平有着不同程度的影响,其中人均收入水平差异影响最为显著。建议扩大农产品合作领域,积极谋求出口战略创新,构建多边农业合作机制。In recent years,China has increased its trade in agricultural products with other RCEP member countries,while China is in deficit which tends to be widened.By measuring the GL index,BI index and MIIT index of agricultural trade between China and other RCEP member countries from 1992 to 2020,this paper studies the factors affecting their agricultural trade based on grey relation analysis.The results show that China’s trade in agricultural products with other RCEP member countries accounts for a large proportion of its total agricultural trade,among which the largest proportion of agricultural trade category is food and live animals;the intra-industry trade in agricultural products between China and other RCEP member countries is at a comparatively lower level,and the increase of intra-industry trade mainly comes from vertical intra-industry trade;difference in per capita income level,combination of goods trade,market openness,trade imbalance,agricultural trade competitiveness and market size have different degrees of effects on the level of intra-industry trade in agricultural products between China and other RCEP member countries,among which difference in per capita income level has the most significant impact.It is suggested to expand the field of cooperation in agricultural products,actively seek innovation in export strategies,and build a multilateral agricultural cooperation mechanism.

关 键 词：RCEP成员国 农产品贸易 产业内贸易 灰色关联度 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]